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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Wow. Yea, like I always say...I do not mind whiffing on canes and severe. Just give me snow and we're good.
  2. I def felt like there was an anomalous high risk for a significant snows this month relative to climo, but it's tough to get bent out of shape if it doesn't work out...I mean, it's still autumn lol
  3. We average like 2" for the month....what do you expect?
  4. Weenie celebrity death match between you and @Damage In Tolland
  5. There is no way this la nina peaks with a strong ONI. Forget that.
  6. You know your stuff, but your posts are pretty one-sided lol
  7. Would go along with my theme of a late season revival.
  8. I meant snow. I couldn't care less about severe.
  9. But it's also becoming east based...in which case strengthening helps the winter cause.
  10. I def. wouldn't run from a strengthening la nina that is becoming more east based....2010 is already one of the better ENSO analogs and it could become even more appropriate....along with 1955 and 1970.
  11. Wow...2.02" here...we crush rain events in Methuen
  12. I didn't say SSW...I said strat warming, which goes hand-in-hand with a weak vortex. I think Dec will be good, though not particularly cold.
  13. Fun times for him and the few buried bodies...not for 99% of us.
  14. Well, if the MJO is low amplitude, I would assume it would default to the well established standing wave that has been in place over the maritime continent. We need the MJO to beging progressing, and/or strat warming. The later is not happening any time soon.
  15. With each thrust a heave of dog poop into the woods and surrounding lawns..
  16. Right. This makes perfect sense to me....its acting like a moderate event. I know he's just going to hurl school yard insults and block me, but I had to call him out and correct him on Twitter. He should stick to operational forecasting, as seasonal is not his niche.
  17. Yea, 30MB is strongly negative, but 50MB had been lagging a bit.
  18. I saw that....its not THAT much weaker....does he realize that this one is well coupled and is actually acting like la nina? Lol The SO MEI is -1.5
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