40/70 Benchmark

This may very well be mainly rain for all of SNE, but its not tracking inland.

Uncle was in line with the GEM at 12z....tossed.

It makes sense if it's right.....if it's a hair to strong with the block, well.....

This isn't going into e MA.

It was probable it was on crack, but its big to see a decent jump south by the GEFS.

Yea...solid move, too...looks like the 12z EPS.

I'd like to see a shift south of the GEFS and EPS to consider it.

Geez...GEM is even further south.

Please...I beg, enough with the fuc$ing CC debates. My god...go to that forum.

EPS is worse than the GEFS now. Still worth watching from about rt 2 and up.

Well, sure, but favoring NNE and threatening the northern third of the region with a significant snowfall aren't mutually exclusive....it goes to shit, then I just pivot and don't bother with a First Call.

Yea, the epic solutions for our area certainly appear dubious, but several inches in northern areas remains feasible.

Well, alI I said was a shot at 6"+ NOP and out of the CTRV....that isn't far fetched. You are the one said I should have extended it further to the south. Lol

It will be some place no one lives. I don't give a rat's ass about the H5 evolution if it focuses all of the snow over Fort Otter****, ME again.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/03/well-forecast-month-of-march.html Did pretty well for March.

Well Forecast Month of March Overall Very Mild & Nearly Snowless Month Here is the 500mb forecast composite for the month of March. Versus what has actually transpired. Overall a very solid 500mb forecast with a bit more blocking than expected over Greenland and Alaska than expected. The impact of the higher heights in the vicinity of Alaska (more negative EPO) was to focus the warmest anomalies slightly further to the east than suggested in the forecast composite. Be that as it may, the higher end of forecast departure range of between 2-4F above average over the forecast area verified. While monthly precipitation was expected to be somewhat above average across the region: It verified well above average and ever more anomalous than anticipated likely at least in part due to the positive monthly PNA. While this was significantly more excessive than the forecast composite implied, it was congruent with the primary analog of March 2010.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/03/major-spring-storm-to-supply.html First Call tomorrow night.

I'm not sold on that.

I would just chill with the HECS stuff....this to me looks like one of those early April 1996 deals.

Check F5...you are on the package. It gives Boston. 8.2"...a lot like the EURO.

Ukie gives me about a foot....matches EURO and GEM pretty well.

GEPS and EPS are great....GEFS are iffy, but good north of about rt 2.

Deepening 985mb on the mean right over the BM.

That was def. the best EPS yet....def. up a step from 12z yesterday.

I think on the hill tops Kuchera could work, but I would def. stay slower to + depth change in the lower terrain.