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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. I mentioned on the forum that an online friend of mine has been targeting the Jan 8-12 period for a month or so...
  2. I let this last one roll off of my chest....I was so appreciative of that Xmas bone and knew I was in a bad spot for this. Hopefully snowy January en route.
  3. Anyway, we should all have ample chances the rest of the season if it works out how I envision.
  4. I know I'm not Dave or ineedsnow, who jack in half of the storms...or even scooter, who frequently jacks in cold coastals...conditions have to be perfect for this area to JP....I just mean start getting consistent, representative snows...that's all. Just near 60" in a season, while n ORH county gets high 70s. Not a huge ask....I don't think...
  5. Right....because the rosy wave train has had a huge ridge over the midwest...if that were over Montana or Idaho, which it never is anymore, we'd be getting rocked.
  6. Of course it's luck....people keep suggesting I live in a bad spot.....for frequent jacks, yes....but bottom line is I average over 60" and haven't received close to that in 8 years.
  7. My gut tells me I wish we'd lose the NAO. Largest event on the season is 3"....only reason I'm not tits up already is it came right before xmas.
  8. Man, if the next big storm whiffs, I am going to absolutely lose it...lo and behold, I am one of the few spots that managed a below average snowfall December with 8". North, west, south and east/northeast...porked in every direction. This is why I'm not thrilled with the +PNA/-NAO combo.
  9. Still expect another major Strat disruption and split in Feb.
  10. Gonna do a December wrap/January preview post soon...bottom line is the latter December/early Jan Pacific trough regime/strenthening PV verified, but the warm up has been abbreviated since the Strat has remained uncoupled from the troposphere....so we have maintained NAO blocking. +PNA remains the theme of January...that has not changed since the fall, but it may end up having more neg NAO than the +TNH expectation given the Strat/troposphere uncoupling.
  11. No. It was like 3-6" there. I placed too much emphasis in the H7 warm front and not enough on the best dynamics staying south.
  12. 1/2" of sand...about as expected. Nice, wintry night. Congrats, CT.
  13. I expect a lot of more Strat help late this year than 2011.
  14. There is my +PNA. Looks like the blocking reprieve won't last as long as I thought since the Strat and troposphere are remaining uncoupled, but I did get the strengthening PV right.
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