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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    A few Modoki in there...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would agree.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, for the most part, but my area did get that unexpected whopper just prior to Xmas, on 12/23.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 95 was a decent Pacific analog, but I didn't care for it in the polar domain.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think we have to closely compare this with 2023-2024 and remain vigilant and mindful as to what the displacement of warmth in the Pacific basin denotes....may not be as simple as "modoki, disrobe". It won't be as bad as that year because the Pacific is changing, but I wouldn't lock in a full-fledged modoki yet, either.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but I think even the blizzard-zone would like to load the dice a bit more favorably with a somewhat weaker ENSO relative to that season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Winter is going to be mild...let's get that out of the way....but at least a basin-wide deal like 2015 allowed for a couple of wintry intervals, and maybe if it's a somewhat weaker version we can get away with a bit more. That's all I mean when I say "weaker"...I'm not trying to be one of those social medaiologists that are getting roasted by snowman on twitter.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see a somewhat weaker version of that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like a weaker El Nino....I would toss that for now.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    What does it look like in the ENSO region?
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    @bluewaveLooks to me like the Pac jet was up to it's old tricks again in March, as the blocking for met winter abated and the MJO, albeit largely favorable, remained weak.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I could buy some vestige of it remaining, but it's probably overdone.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ask the White House...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ironically enough, the MJO actually spend a lot of time in phase 8 the latter half of the month.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    MAGA Make Analysis Great Again.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    WTF.....going to refrain from anything that could be conceived as political discourse, but I have my opinions as to whom the ire should be directed.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have noticed....so we don't have means to plot H5 beyond March 17, 2026 for now?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where are we going for daily H5 charts now that this site is no longer updating? https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/ This site is fine for temps and precip. https://prism.oregonstate.edu/comparisons/anomalies.php
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably historic charts intended as an April's Fool's homeage.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It did well last year. I was skeptical it would end up that cold. Interesting to see how it does this year.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Back in the market?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    By the turn of the decade your metamorphous to torchtiger will be complete.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last of my neighbor's snow-blow pile will go today. I melted out Sunday.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    @MasswxLoves to hear it!
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