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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 06z GFS had the death band about where I have it...from KASH to ORH..00Z has it from Taunton to KPYM. NAM has it a shade west of where I do...
  2. GEM shaved QPF a bit around here, but low is dead-on last run...IDK, I'm just not that spooked and call BS on the rug-pull.
  3. I've also learned that the best banding is usually NW of the best modeled QPF.
  4. I'm not seeing any of the mesos do that....and other than 00z, it was basically noise, yet it was still shaving QPF...I don't buy that because I think there will be a deformation zone west of me...makes zero sense.
  5. Why is the NBM so bonkers when nothing else is that high? GFS and EURO are such lower...
  6. Lowest was 9.5" and highest 14" yesterday...most common was 13"..but like I said, I added 4.5" of cement....though last inch or so was more fluff.
  7. Yea, because I'm sure it's greater than 10:1.....just saying it's not kuchera, though it maybe similar. my F5 site has a similar proprietary ratio formula.
  8. I like this better than the wxbell version...where do you get that?
  9. One saving grace with MRV where I am...yea, I'm prone to subsidence from low level deformation near the coast, as we all know...but I don't get shadowed here.
  10. It is, but you want it passing underneath you at max intensification rate, not after it's matured.
  11. This is the most snow I have ever had going into a blizzard....Jan 1996 I had 12"...Juno I gad like 5-6"...I think same in Jan 2005...
  12. He's in SE MA...I'm in NE MA... I have 16-17" after 4.5" last night. I haven't measured today, but I had 13" yesterday.
  13. Waaaaaay passed that...it's been smothered since Wednesday.
  14. Heaviest has trended NW, too....from SE MA to s ORH CO/N RI
  15. Everyone inside that swath of vorticity over S NH should have a shot at 2'+
  16. Problem is tomorrow will have the input from mesos RE banding...
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