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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think spiking the MJO amplitude in phase 7 later this month would further bolster confidence in this outcome, but my confidence is already pretty high.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, no wonder you've both been so cranky...4 years...
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely....many on social media, including DT, are always inclined to rush the demise of ENSO. It's tiresome. I do expect the PNA to be the primary catalyst for some significant snowfall here in short order, as I do not expect NE coastal snowfall to remain this paltry.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean "deathblow" to winter...as in winter over; quite the opposite. It's just getting started, as frustrating as it's been.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean that that PV is going to ultimately incur a severe disruption that will end in a split, after the stretching of the next few weeks.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just mentioning in the ENSO thread, we are going to stretch the shit out of the PV during the second half of January, then the death-blow will come in February....we should end up splitting that b!tch in two. The +TNH setting up next week is the precursor to that major wave 2 disruption that will culminate in a February split. We are going places pattern wise, and the snow should follow suite.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The theme for latter January will be stretching....the knock out punch comes in February.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cold, icy and windy has characterized this winter so far.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    There will be something of significance this month...we aren't making it to February in single-digits.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like that period better......beyond mid-month.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well said. I think CC is playing a part in the absence of winter weather over the past several years, but it's not "the new norm"....it's just accentuating and protracting these oscillations. Just my take...I think it also played a role in the snow-blitz of 2015.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    The first one that I buy is the Adams total.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kicking myself for not hitting 2017 harder in my December composite....would have mitigated missing on the magnitude of the cold.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pacific trough says what up, b1tches.....
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    @GaWxLarry, it has that El Niño look because of the Pacific airmass....that is what I tried to capture in my January composite....pretty similar look with months like January 2006 and 2002 in there.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yet BOX tossed my March 2018 measurement....asses.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I feel like the real window starts when the MJO hits 7....like 24th ish....
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would like to see phase 8...the MJO has still had an allergy to phase 8 over the course of the past couple of seasons, despite the cold, which is part of the reason why the haven't seen the snow.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I bet Norwell had like 55" in 2015.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that dude moved to Lunenburg
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    100%...same crap as last season.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that's not accurate.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, something clearly has changed....we just need to wait on the snow get the memo.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree, but gonna have to wait this out....CC is definitely more feast or famine....but shit, someone tell Mother Nature it's time to eat.
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