40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Doubt it back here. -
Track is dependent on degree and timing of phasing...not that simple.
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Quick note on GEFS.....that track is the mean of OTS camp, and interior hit camp. Some have stronger southern wave that remains discrete from n stream and scoots out to sea. Path to most snow is probably a slight tic east with a good front ender bc the other option is probably a brush if it doesn't phase. I favor the slight tick east
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Why do you think the GEPS didn't change?
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Yea, the blizzard, I think.
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CMC ensembles are still hideous.
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Thanks so much, Chris...learn a ton from your insight. Expect a canal census to emerge.
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GEM and UK didn't, either...EURO pending...
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Right, but wouldn't the OP go east, too then?
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Why did the GEFS go east so much with that new data?
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Vice versa...ensembles already there
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Hmm John was saying that trending weaker would send it east...
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I'll bet OPs shift east tomorrow when that SW is sampled.
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My call remains upper cape..like Falmouth..maybe canal
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I'm just kidding, sorry if I offended you.
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Pop the dentures in and chew a gummy
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So in this case, greater western heights are bad....holy shit the irony considering December...not sure whether to laugh or cry.
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There are changes forthcoming.
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Yea...."at least". I think worst case is 2-5".
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This is why the ensembles are better. Makes sense.
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I'm getting at least a few inches, regardless....Boston and SE MA more dubious.
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Yes. Deform in Toronto.
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ICON can pull a 2018 Steave Pearce
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I'll take whatever I can get, at this point.
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I count 15 of 50 18z GEFS members that absolutely bury me...there are a couple of members that look like they redevelop it into a Miller B and level SNE.
