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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. One of the best analogs IMO.....volatility should be a central theme this season.
  2. A month ago, I thought it was quickly going to go central based, however, the east has remained cold due to the easterlies migrating out that way....we may have caught a break in that regard.
  3. You are correct. Very important point that some are missing. And there is a difference. This is going to a central theme of my outlook...my composites are all done, and I'm just starting the narrative portion.
  4. "In an early morning email exchange with a highly regarded local met, he opined that I maintain a distance of at least 100', but my heart dissented. The correction vector protruding towards her, my Hadley Cell burgeoned with great rapidity. The next thing I knew, the geopotential medium compressed as the cell door slammed shut-
  5. He is fixated on Fox Hall....my guess is that was the last Christine "encounter" prior to issuance of the restraining order.
  6. That is more sw end of town....I would think the part bordering Groveland and Boxford to the se would be worst...
  7. Must just be a steeper gradient than I had suspected. I have noted since moving here two years ago that the CF often stops at Haverhill, so that makes sense, actually.
  8. Yes, I was surprised how low they were bc looking at the data, it seems pretty legit. I know I have told you in the past that I figured around 90" here.
  9. @ORH_wxman Best I can gather is that my current spot probably had around 80" in 2007-08. Groveland, which is just se of Haverhill and seems like a reliable station, had 77.4". Jive with your map?
  10. He probably had about the same in 70-71.
  11. The only slam-dunk limiting factors that I see are: 1) La nina will be moderate, not weak 2) La nina is basin wide, and has not remained relegated to the east basin. 3) QBO is positive. None of those are death knells.
  12. I wouldn't disagree with any of this.
  13. Well, that is reasonable. Below normal is different from a rat.
  14. I know this sounds crazy, but it just may be not quite as good as 2010-2011, and better than 2011-2012. Just maybe-
  15. You need to register for the virtual session of remedial la nina climo 101.
  16. I would rather be here and avoid the rat, than be in it.
  17. Did you feel guilty and dirty afterwards?
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