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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You said the same, exact thing last year. Your default la nina opinion.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not the rest of the month. Wrong.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm messing around looking at past stinko la nina seasons...and I can't find a November that looked like this one. November 2011 was polar opposite, aside from some lower heights around AK, but not to the same degree.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nothing egregious, just relentlessly "poking the hornet's nest", as you would say.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @ORH_wxmanI know it's a good sign for winter when October-November flips from warm Oct to cold Nov....do you know what the exact stat is?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have noticed that...seems more useless nodes of late. Last January was perfect example. Not only ENSO that is being muted-
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel guilty...dirty even, but @Torch Tiger's trolls are kind of growing on me lol
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    You still bitch plenty lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its tough to know for certain....the coupling often decays as the season evolves anyway, and always has. But I do agree that it is mitigating ENSO to a degree...that makes sense to me. Its just tough to determine when exactly to attribute that because external forcing sources have always intervened at times.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do not debate the merits of what you are saying at all.....I just don't feel it has negated ENSO altogether, and I know you didn't suggest that. I do think it can with meager events, but not so much in strongly coupled events such as this.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take 2001-2001, 2011-2012 and 2019-2020 consecutively if it would bring substance to your posts.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    In December, same here...despite current modeling, I think I will ultimately do okay with that look.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    John, despite any mitigating impact that HC expansion may have, I don't think that there is any doubt that this cold ENSO event is having its presence felt in the atmosphere. I agree RE last year's event, but this one, albeit rather paltry in terms of ONI, is very well coupled.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Longer range has been volatile. I'm not sure how you can cancel a month before it has began.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its November. Sometimes I question whether your degree is just a bunch paragraphs.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, anything prior to the period from about the 10-14th is gravy to me.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are due for some luck...but so am I.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its not really a warm pattern...just need some luck with all of the cold dumping out west, and we aren't getting it as modeled quite yet. Reminds me of 20018-2019 a bit.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    My prayers have been answered.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I use F5 weather for euro narcan maps and mostly wxbell for evrything else. I forget rates...will tell you tmw.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like a made the right call resisting temptation to begin model subscriptions prior to 12/1.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL Don't get carried away..Christine has made other plans.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Earth likes to balance everything.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, IVTs are not rare in the literal sense, they just rarely produce anything of consequence at a given locale.
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