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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, you said "except" Sandy, as if it countered the argument that neg NAO favors fish storms...I said that it isn't because it came up through the Carrieban, no the CV islands.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sandy hooked up from the Carribean. He was referring to the long track CV systems. His whole point was that home brew/Carribean systems would be the main threats
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, given that the ECMWF peaks at -.52C and the consensus of all guidance is -.55C, that makes sense. Still argues weak. I would advise caution with respect to persistence forecasting, as it works until it doesn't...case en point the NAO this past winter.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    IDK, I don't to long range tropical stuff....but I agree that neg NAO patterns generally favor recurcves.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Recipe for a low ACE season relative to activity level.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope..not true with the expansion of the Hadley cell....you can choose to delude yourself by refusing to believe it if you wish, but there is peer reviewed material on the matter. Not published by myself, but if it were, it would be a hell of a lot longer.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Completely agree. The dew talk is on borrowed time.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously the US as a whole is far from done with tropical season, but we in the NE are not done either. Henri may have been a warm up.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I rolled my eyes every time I read "RI".....folks just can't recognize a skunked out core when they see one.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where is that, coastal RI?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Got about exactly as I had figured here, so wouldn't call the storm a "bust", though it certainly could have been much, much worse...maybe 1.5" of rain and 30ish mph gusts.....no complaints. I was not rooting for a flooded basement and loss of power with a couple of kids under 2 years old. Happy to have kept the damage in Tolland.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is mainly in the eastern zones, where we want it. I'm still not sold on moderate.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/matching-tropical-surface-stratosphere.html
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def. agree.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you have the link for the weekly data? The site that I use stopped updating in January...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Forecast for Henri worked out well, as didn't expect it to make landfall as a hurricane. Highest gust, 70mph at Point Judith, RI. Highest rainfall total, so far in New England is 5.00" in Manchester, CT. We probably aren't done with tropical threats in New England this season. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/tropical-storm-henri-verification.html
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    March 2006 could have easily been a pretty snowy month, but we just couldn't buy a break...kind of like last January.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a tool that is more useful some seasons than others, like everything else.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Did it cross Block island?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    AWT
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    NYC is $ucked with all of that rain...wow.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Some spots more
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this was purely hydro for me since I saw it get sheared to shit at 30+ latitude...that is game over for anything for than marginal cane.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the main show is rains....the east shift if anything exacerbates the issue for you guys.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep
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