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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good news with respect to winter, if anything.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Are we okay with the Saturday prior to TDay?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Springer article is much better...more extensive. That is the piece that I use.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny how we seem to have arrived at some similar conclusions despite different methodologies. Mine should be out in early November.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm actually glad to see the steep drop in 3.4 because it was looking pretty modoki for a bit. People need to remember that this once every ten year drop occured with region 3.4 at neutral, so let's not get carried away.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking like November in ORH at Funky Murphy's it is.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    You mean you should.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Weak to borderline moderate peak.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chuck bases his NAO formula off of that and it's actually indicative of a weak neg NAO.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most of the higher end members have big months of March, which makes perfect sense to me.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    It would be funny if KCON ended up with 70" and I got 40"....if you wanna see me completely lose my shit after LBSW last year. In my experience, gradients like that are usually between the pike and I 84, not S NH.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that is Concord, NH that has 70". I'd take my chances with that look because I feel like the gradient would be a bit further south.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that's a late 90's la nina.....good news is that the gradient is near by, so it wouldn't take much to end up with like 70" in that look.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    2011 was also an extreme modoki la nina...which this one has not been to date, though it does look more so recently.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    KLWM
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wow...that is accurate right down to the inch...impressive. I measured 51" last year.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still have my doubts RE moderate. I also question how much more unfavorable the euro got due to just a slight increase in la nina intensity bc the structure was largely unchanged. I anticipated seeing that it had gone modoki when I saw the H5 and 2m charts, but not the case...still basin wide. I think quidance jumped the gun a bit here. Caveat being we will need to watch it closely over the next month bc its def shifted modoki in real time at present.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro looks like it has a decent gradient near the pike...reminds me of 2007-2008.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro is warmer, but def more active pattern than last run...especially up and in.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Awful snowfall season...like 30% or less of seasonal snowfall.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Euro trended from weak to moderate la nina, but still looks basin wide to me....not modoki.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1445833062617530372?t=sBnVt1WYxAO637V9U1B7uA&s=19
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the only way Kev wins this season is if it's a ratter. JMO.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I had 94.5"...I can double check tmw
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