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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    White xmas for Methuen, sleety xmas Tolland?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ticked north...looks like 00z.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    12z GFS doesn't look to have changed much.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, looks like a good period....I expect the signature event for the month to occur the week of xmas/New Year's, and then perhaps an even larger event in early Jan.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure who spiked a football, but I am under the impression that the ensemble mean is the course of least regret in the medium range. In the last threat, the mean also drifted well se....we do not see that here.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, not worried about that shredded OP with that look.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its prob like advisory snows north of pike, which is the outcome I have favored right along.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, my bad...at this range I just check maps quickly, but I shouldn't have made definitive statements if I wasn't going to analyze the solution....but no way am I getting 10" like the wxbell maps. Those are trash.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would say 75/25 compromise towards the F5 map without analyzing soundings and everything.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    That map can be stingy at the surface due to low level warmth, but either way, it doesn't seem significant over SNE.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is why I am okay with the continued RNA in conjunction with an EPO cold load and high latitude blocking....I said yesterday that this is a pattern primed for your fabled NJ model deals.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    The GFS doesn't get any snow south of the NH border until Xmas.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love how people lie in the weeds and reveal they are out a couple of days beforehand. lol Awesome.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't read too much into it given that the EPS mean is virtually unchanged...actually edged north at 06z.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd prefer it too warm for most of SNE at this point....I'll take my chances with precip type.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS didn't change much.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    OMFG LBSW
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I figured he did it on purpose bc it was so blatant
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Going to be an el nino next year, so I'll be SNE's bitch again....need to get up off of the mat this year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's so refreshing not to be dealing with LBSW...nothing worse than having storms going through rigormortis by the time they arrive and taking sloppy seconds to Jersey. I can deal with losing out to Loon Mountain.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know where I live, chief....but thanks. 40% here at the NH border on that graphic.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I disagree.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    40%...decent shot.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    -NAO
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