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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Not interested. I agree it's a NNE threat.
  2. Yea, let's root for snow with a primary near James Bay.
  3. No. I had a board. I took pics of a garbage can topped with snow.
  4. Yikes. I came out of my two-week outlook cacoon and went straight on vaca, so I missed that.
  5. Wasn't it a no-brainer that it was going to turn colder in November? I don't get the victory laps and kudos. Who doubted that?
  6. I am a fan of the 6 hourly swipe...but I also have no issue distinguishing between total snowfall and max/current depth.
  7. I am so sick of the inconsistency with respect to snowfall measuring.....I had my 31.5" jack tossed in March 2018 after employing the same, exact technique and they took depth measurements, instead. But when it comes to a lake effect circle jerk, they all derobe to the big 22.7" discrepancy between max depth and 6 hourly swipes. I had a 6.5" gap and it was tossed. What a joke.
  8. Thanks for chiming in, Matt...love your stuff. The neg IOD and la nina should both relinquish their grip relatively early, per my research, since this is a stagnant la nina that has carried over from last year. They have more staying power when the atmospheric dynamics that foster the development of the ENSO-IOD development and coupling are still maturing, as opposed to largely an atmospheric imprint of last year's state.
  9. Agree, but the increasingly stout solar was part of my rationale, in addition to 2001 popping up as a sensible analog. I'm not worried about a furnace.
  10. The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.
  11. I had a a serviceable SWFE type second half after a bleh first half. I had a good January.
  12. Can work later in the month, but it's tough to score in a less than pristine pattern with hostile climo.
  13. Temper tantrums over a failed Tday threat lol
  14. I don't expect much until like second week of month
  15. I had a mild early month of December, transition to a colder gradient look as the month aged. RNA is the word of the day for December.
  16. Boat leaving Nassau...offline for the night.
  17. Pretty inconsequential. Maybe it peaks ar 1.2 instead of 1.0? That's why you give a range.
  18. I'll take that pattern in December...string of coastals that early brings Cantore to ORH for TSnow orgies.
  19. WAA snows, SWFE, can even be Miller Bs if the EPO block is strong enough and well positioned
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