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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    How was your experience with PD I, Steve? Were you hopeful that was going to trend north enough?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    My locale. Don't you have a puppy to rescue? lol
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think my futility season of 1978-1979 was one of these.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I was getting at in a since deleted post....the WORST pattern is a coolish regime fraught with deconstructive interference, like this. I woud take 2019-2020, or 2011-2012 over this.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have no idea why you break his balls over falling six wins shy of a WS title when they weren't even supposed to contend...you act as if they underachieved. It makes no sense.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is why I laughed when you asked if I was going to blog about last night.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    If it changes things up, then I welcome it. Anything is better than a coolish pattern laden with desonctructive interference. Its the absolute worst and I would rather an all out torch.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I Implore people that are in this primarily for snowfall, which I would venture to say is the majority of us, to check out on this conga line of nuisance dribble. If you just want to nerd out over the science of prostate milking to 1001 mb lows, then this is the pattern for you. But if you are emotionally invested in fun winter storms, get out and stay out until further notice. I don't need the headache of precipitation type issues from episodes of .01" QPF.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you hate to see it?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The extended range ICON your Clarence?
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this is what I was getting at it in my exchange with scooter...I know he is aware, just saying. I made an annotation illustrating this last week. Often times at this latitude, the most detrimental impact of RNA on snowfall is that is provides deconstructive interference for SWs, rather than rendering it too warm to snow...the latter is more common points south.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sorry to hear about your diagnosis. Get well and here's a to a better weather pattern in the new year.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    People forget that even the great seasons have a shitty month...February and March 2011 were meh....mid January to mid Feb 1996....bleh...hell, December through most of January 2014-2015, and even March 2015.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Snowcrazed71I apologize for posting your PM, but in the future, please do not DM me a slew of insults. If you do not have the balls to call me names publicly, then don't do it period. You are taking this too personal, man. I have nothing against you...I was just trolling you because you were heated.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is....when you lose a significant portion of the early winter, and then end up near average, it implies a pretty damn good period or two.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the essence of what I missed in December....the RNA was deeper and less variable. The lower heights also hung around AK a bit longer than I had thought early on in the month. Pretty small misses in the grand scheme of things have a very big sensible impact and can really flush a forecast.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he over embellishes in an attempt to derive humor from a sea of weather shit.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We really only had two stick-bomb winters when your kids were growing up....2006-2007, and 2011-2012.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Take that, and stick in your deep, dark no-no place!
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that is a subjective ratter.....I am speaking of a statistical ratter in terms of total seasonal snowfall.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I disagree, but we'll see. Stratosphere dependent.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its been dry in large part because of that RNA....even when the NAO block developed, we had the compression between the NAO ridge to the north, and RNA ridge to the south. It would not have been dry if the RNA were just a little less prevalent.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is what killed us....even if it had reached between -1 and -2 nadir, we probably would have seen significant snow with that NAO block.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is why seasonal forecasting is sooooo difficult. 1970 was one of my December analogs, and its really didn't evolve too much differently, but the RNA and NAO being in perfect synch porked us out of the snow. Obviously it was warmer, too...that was over 50 years ago.
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