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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, it wouldn't. That season had a power house PV all season long and a black hole over AK. We had neither. I think 2001-2002 was better.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I guess I haven't been paying close enough attention to notice because I'm not very interested in this.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    If having an OP vacillate back and forth from one end of its ensemble mean to the other on a day 10 forecast renders it trash, then we are all forecasting from a garbage bin.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was obvious.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Riding off of the high of your imminent 3rd fantasy title.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I remember by around the holidays it was obvious mid winter was in trouble, but he just wouldn't back down. I agree with snowman 100% on that.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    He kept using 95-96 and 10-11 as his analogs last year and wouldn’t stop insisting that it was about to get very cold and snowy week after week from November through March. It was like he was living in an alternative universe. He was God awful last winter, terrible Yea, he was. Agreed. However, he had been very good over the course of the previous few.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cosgrove mentions a potential modoki this season as a possibility.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know @griteateris aware of this, but its important not to generalize the impact of volcanic eruptions in much the same manner that we used to ENSO, as they come in all shapes, sizes and locales...they have varying impact depending upon the location, global circulation pattern, substances emitted, etc. Assuming a ++AO/NAO as followed Pinatubo just because we had a recent eruption is akin to assuming that every el nino will behave like a modoki and we know how much @snowman19would appreciate that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see what happens. I'm glad you brought that up, though...something to remain mindful of this season.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    He raised a good point, but I think I offered a nice counter by pointing out the severe blocking that we had last March...for which I never received a response.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure they know that I keep reiterating that I don't view this as a major threat to the US because I don't. But the beauty of weather is that its fascinating, difficult to predict and fluid, so maybe my view will change. Let's just see what happens and stop derailing. Happy tracking-
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure it is fair to label an opinion as an agenda, or banter. Sorry, it is sure to be a cat 5 again by tomorrow AM and be in Manhattan by next weekend. Is that better? Lol An agenda implies a vested interest or ulterior motive...like trying to get clicks or followers. Downplaying potentially dramatic weather is not the way to do it from my perspective of a weather hobbyist with a weather blog. Makes zero sense
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I could be wrong on the RI part...much less confidence in that than the favoring NS over US part. I'm not saying it won't intensify...it may make cat 4 again, I just think it will be more gradual.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is certainly a chance this still hits as far back as the cape...just because I don't favor that, it is a viable outcome. I'm not pushing any agenda. Not sure what that was all about.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think there is a great deal of evidence mounting against it....like, every piece of seasonal guidance for instancw... save for maybe the CFS, which he hates, ironically enough.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Leave it to snowman to unearth some random Egyptian tweet scratched in hyrogriphics on the inside of a cave to restore hope to the warm crew lol... Jk.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was my 3rd most snowy winter in record, behind 1995-1996 and 2014-2015.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like everything else....Euro, CANSIPs and JMA.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, it isn't. 1938 went into w LI and central CT....Euro is like a Bob track.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think RI is done for Lee.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is going OTS.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that, too. My money is on it not every regaining its former vigor, but that isn't saying much since it was cat 5.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Has that "skunked" post ERC, "seen my best days" type of appeal IMO.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I have never really assessed this as much of a threat. Maybe I'm wrong, but don't think so.
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