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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think most knew deep down this wouldn't be a big deal for the US, but people are bored and some tried to force a square peg into a round hole.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, said last week this would be a big deal for the US in general.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably around 100mph in 1938...just a guess.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean MBY...I mean the region. I am not all IMBY with respect to the tropics.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This was always a trivial ordeal in my mind.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, in that case let me evacuate, see ya
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Largest impact from my POV is the dews...I'm glad it stays east.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this is fair.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just the fact that we have this consensus in the face of a supposed super-east based el nino is telling IMO.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think will be HUGE....the track is going east of us, regardless.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    This place is a toy for him....if you really want to know what he thinks, watch his FB feed....there is no one on this planet more concerned about public perception and he is always very reasonable on social media.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, just trying to keep it real.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am actually happy.....this isn't blog worthy in my mind, and I just get to sit back and see what happens this weekend...hopefully a nice warm up for winter with big lows backing that a$$ up from the sse.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't even remember it.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Name me a tropical system that produced damaging wind here with a track east of the region.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Largest impacts here will be beach erosion and insult to injury rains if it gets close enough.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which is a red flag to keep expectations in check. I said a few days ago the path to the most impactful wind around here was through a quick extratropical transition.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this will cause a great deal of erosion, regardless of where it tracks. Man, lets get a track like this in January.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its stands to reason that there is more variation to the SST pattern this year because we had a near record cold phase last winter. We can all agree that we will not see a repeat of that. Btw, could you link me to that current SST map? Thanks.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know 1963 was one....
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, what it would mean is a mod-strong event per ONI would act weak to moderate and this become the most fruitful.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could live with weak coupling...more n stream action....which you also wonder if the ghost of la nina could help keep in play. Interesting.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just you wait until that next westerly wind burst comes through...It will be the love child of a 1972, 1982, 1991 and 2015 orgy.....then the -PDO will drop more snow in Miami than Boston.
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