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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Good time to waste that track AFIC.
  2. Picked up a trace of snow on the deck...yay
  3. It's a decent Pacific analog, but it was descending solar on the heels of Pinatubo, so the pole is very different. I also expect the PNA to be more positive this season, which is working out, so far.
  4. Yea, the one time it did end up this side it robbed us of the xmas blizzard by phasing in the west.
  5. Yea, that new dollhouse would be toast
  6. I'm pretty confident that won't be the case.
  7. Where was her craving for pizza when @Modfan2needed it lol
  8. I know that would undoubtedly break your heart...
  9. I would have kept "ordering" more for the house on the hill lol
  10. I don't want either, so it works out.
  11. We just need to get that closed 534dm contour about 100mi bodily south.
  12. Its often one or two opportunities that define(s) a season...at least from about my latitude points south.
  13. Ice is like wind....9/10 times its overdone on guidance...and the one time it isn't fuels Kevin's sideways weather takes for another 10 years.
  14. Great post.......agreed. If the polar fields crap the bed, then we 1994-1995. But I still trust in the key solar differences to ensure that does not happen...I am sure snowman is more skeptical, so we will just have to see. I do foresee somewhat of a thaw in mid to late January before the real show in February, so I guess whether or not we capitalize on the better days in the first half of January will be a crucial point of inflection for this season.
  15. I liked the period around Xmas to NY last month, but I'm not expecting anything at this point...if it pops up, so be it...I would take it.
  16. The stakes are higher with a true SSW.....a generally weak PV gives you a nice, safe floor with a lower ceiling, but a SSW can either give you February 2010, or February 2019.
  17. It kind of seems like the PV may kick to the other side of the globe again, but I expect a major disruption in early January.
  18. I am so sick of the PV kicking to the other side of the globe....can't we get it to near Hudson Bay just once...ugh.
  19. Yea, I expect a lag, though.....because the reservoir of cold across Canada needs to be replenished....which is why I think the period of +AO/NAO prior to the reshuffle of the Pacific may be a blessing in disguise.
  20. Yea, I certainly do not expect a very cold month of January...just cold enough to get "in the game", so to speak.
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