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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone have the mesonet link? Had to get a new laptop after a soda spill. lol
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Saw the SCE was about normal...anyone have the SAI?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Spilled soda on my laptop yesterday...what a disaster. My work may go into the wknd now.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can see how the Aleutian low retrogrades over the course of the season, which is why it gets better after the NY.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like the Modoki composite.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @griteaterYou updated this recently, correct? Care to bump?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like the result maybe basin wide orientation in terms of SSTs with a Modoki like forcing and storm tracks. However, we won't have Modoki like cold due to the Pacific and overall antecedent warmth around the globe. Basin-wide like temps in the seasonal mean with periods of canonical warmth and some modoki like cold shots...probably warm in the mean, but not prohibitively so.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Region 4 has the second warmest anomaly that it ever had in recorded history...if that doesn't qualify as basin-wide, then I'm not sure what does. Basin-wide events have a high variance due to the SST warmth not being biased heavily in either direction, but the fact is that the warmth out west is titling the forcing in that direction.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Webb literally wrote a thesis on Twitter about why the MEI doesn't matter...talk about being triggered lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the one I use for pre 1979.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Life is one big correlation table...from solving world hunger, to alleviating acute personality disorders and getting laid....check the table-
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    The disconnect between the RONI and MEI is nothing new... check out the 2002-2003 el Nino....I think 1.55 peak RONI and 0.7 MEI.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I noted that.... 1.05 is not alarming...about where I expected the MEI to go.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just about to post that strong is off of the table....I had the ceiling at 1.6, but that will be rewritten.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    All joking aside, this doesn't change anything IMO...its not going to be a frigid winter.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Snowman needs a Webb-Roundy coctail fix like a junkie needs dope right about now...dude must have the shakes
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Simple climo, too....we don't get super el Nino again so soon after 2015.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just you wait until that next downwelling-Kelvin WWB comes along.....we only look at MEI during Modoki.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, look at the death star over AK in November....
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just meant in weather circles...no need to talk me off of the ledge lol
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously he couldn't care less...I'm a nobody.....but it is what it is-
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    He is a weenie lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Late Friday or Saturday.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I try not to do this, but that Webber ass is getting a shutout in my write up.....can't help myself.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expect a mild season in the mean because the colder turn is not going to entirely negate the warmer start.
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