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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think he is like that.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Firstly, its not "more" news...its a reiteration of what has been chronicled all summer and into the fall. Secondly, if you read the thread, he acknowledged my contentions were valid.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Rinse, repeat of the last one.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Starting to fall quite a bit behind 2015 in the central regions.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could def. see half of that coming to fruition.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like even if the DM composite ends up looking as hostile for eastern US winter enthusiasts as you portray, there will still be a very "fun" period mixed in there that will cause it to be remembered differently from the past few seasons. I find it hard to believe that we end up with a wall-to-wall terd like 1991-1992 or 1997-1998.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly feel like you and I agree more than we realize, its just that our passion leads us to articulate it and express it in two entirely different ways. Its a pattern I have noticed on these boards.... most of the disagreement is more of an artifact of communication than it is an actual difference of opinion.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like only 2004 and 2014 had warmer region 4.....I would take a repeat of either of those.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The early portion of this seasonal transition reminds me of 1995 on an entirely anecdotal level. Not that I expect us to continue down that path because I do not.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nothing has me remotely intrigued in terms of imminent sensible weather, but I like what I see in terms of pattern evolution at this stage FWIW.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any insight on whether or not he will allow the restraining order on@snowman19to expire?
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    So you agree a somewhat colder version of 2015-2016 is reasonable?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same page, I don't need convincing that this el nino will eventually couple...my thoughts have been consistent on a strong ONI peak rather than intense/super.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shows why the event has been migrating westward, with the WWB confined to about 140 longitude points westward.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look to me like one in which development has stagnated as it slowly migrates westward. But I'm sure the IOD, MJO and everything else under the sun are conspiring to change that as we speak.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most events fall somewhere in between, including 2015-2016... he's right about that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That makes sense to me as far as where I expect this event to end up...weaker than the first two, but more impressive than the second group...perhaps a touch stronger than 2009-2010.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like the PDO will win out early in the season, and the el nino more as time wears on.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Congrats!
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think there is some value in them as analogs, but not simply as a copy-paste, rip-read incarnate, no.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    We clearly disagree. I have gone over why ad nauseam. Fruitless at this stage to rehash it.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like maybe some Miller B east in there bc it's not as dry over e NE...nod to my idea of active N stream and S stream.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I'm not mistaken, a lot of people have mentioned 2009 as a good analog....even Raindance himself.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even up here decent months of December are sporadic
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still doesn't look awful for December, but anything then is gravy.
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