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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yup. Something about him irks me....every weather system, whether its an airmass or a storm, is "moving over the top of us"....listen to that tool bag.
  2. Wankum displayed an image of the 8-14 day anomaly map from the CPC, which had reds over the mid section of the country and said something to the effect of "this looks poised to move over our area thereafter, so a white xmas looks doubtful". I swear these guys get too comfy and complacent in addition to being conditioned to over simplify everything, which fosters bad habits.
  3. Raindance hasn't been good eith the NAO.
  4. I don't think I have seen any calling for a below normal season in the NE. Any guess as to why such a bright forecaster has amassed all of 331 followers on Twitter over the course 8+ years? Must be his sunny disposition and courteous manner of interaction.
  5. My weighted analog composite is all of the 6 snowiest seasons in New Mexico minus one snowy eastern season to "fix" it.
  6. Sure, you can pull it off in Wilmington...all I'm saying is that there is a bit more marine influence there.
  7. Sure ...it impacts cold production in the short term.
  8. https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
  9. Yea, I still don't think it makes it, but it shouldn't really matter...we aren't far apart.
  10. My guess is like .6 to .7 for next update and probably peaking at like 1.1 to 1.2
  11. mreaves with the hammer today.....spiked maple syrup?
  12. First in-season blog probably imminent this week.
  13. I probably did okay where I am now relative to where I was in that second one.
  14. NE wind here isn't as big a deal as it is a bit further south in Wilmington, as the angle of the coast is sharper with latitude.....its the east and SE winds, like these first couple events, that still kill me this far north.
  15. I think the first nice winter period for the east will coincide with that final el Nino flex later in December, as the MJO constructively interferes with its development while in phases 8, 1 and 2.
  16. No need to bore him because I'm sure he knows that cold winter time MJO phases are warm in the fall.
  17. I would say our areas have equal chances...my latitude helps, but I'm also closer to the ocean....though with a good high placement, my area may have a slight edge.
  18. I could live with that....it doesn't need to be 20" to 5" like 12/92.....I can deal with "10-3"....I've come a long way in my willingness to share the wealth.
  19. That is the type of pattern where a system can pop at day 2 or 3....regardless of rain vs snow.
  20. Visibility 1/10 of a mile in blowing indifference.
  21. Must be a troll job...I know he can't be that clueless.
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