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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what people are forgetting with this "super" el nino....the intense warming is occurring at the end of one of the most prominent cold phases in history....lts like lamenting a SW flow slamming into a 1052mb arctic high....you can't ignore the high. The atmosphere is holding onto the last vestiges of cold ENSO for dear life and that includes a very warm western PAC.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hard to believe that with a AS value of 0.6, this is the highest that the MEI has been since AM 2016
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    MEI.v2: NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably have mine out the first week of November.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks virtually the same as when I mowed a week ago.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    +PNA is fine....less likely to have gradient saturation issues.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never saw a drop.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not doubting, just saying....I'm not paying attention yet...at least to the medium range.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    This past weekend did, too, a week ago.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think there is any doubt that this will be a -PDO DM on average....so this makes sense to me.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't say he was expecting that...but 4th all time el Nino is historic.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    2.0+ peak ONI is historic.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is always a gradient somewhere with a neg NAO/PNA pattern...the point is it wasn't a "game-over" month for the entire east coast like February. Lumping March together with February is silly.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, probably why we got a west biased PNA in January that acted like an RNA.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    March wasn't a lost cause at all...snowfall totals don't tell the entire story.....there was a HECS like 15 mi to my west.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Paul Roundy
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think there is any entity, man or machine, that accurately predicted the depth of that western CONUS trough.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Zero chance.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    'Warmest waters continue to straddle the dateline"....
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its both...think of it like the loaded dice analogy to describe GW in that the we have greater potential for warmer outcomes. The pattern does that with respect to snowfall, but it doesn't mean it never deviates....just like we still have colder seasons despite the background signal of GW.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll take 1963, 1965 and 1968, gladly....3/7 -PDO/el nino isn't horrible. ...it comes down to the polar domain, no matter how I view things.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just let him go...if he can't see it at this point then he never will.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would gladly take 1995 verbatim...that is actually my #1 season...2014 is #2. I would take the 2009 pattern again and have another roll of the dice.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't agree with you at all. Perhaps the most likely outcome, sure.
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