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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    49.1
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't know because I'm always focused on MBY.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, better shot of Kev hosting the next Democratic Convention.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love the gradient from 12.5" to zippo over lke 5 miles in NE PA.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    43.9
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think mine will be...main roads, sure...maybe the area under my pine tree, but I think I maintain mostly coverage.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is another gradient on the north side of 128...once you hit Woburn and especially Wilmington.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep, understood.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is your pack like....24-30"?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't even referring to that.....I'm just considering the fact that we just came off of a triple deep La Nina two years ago and another weak one this year. Looking back historically, I highly doubt another one next year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Their terrible years are still near 100".
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I stayed above freezing...only down to 37.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Doesn't mean the month will be cold any snowy, but not that magnitude of warmth in the monthly mean...very well maybe above average, though.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its evident that that won't be the case, though.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd be careful about slipping into the defeatist "whoa is me" meterorological stupor type of trap.....things are changing on a multidecadal scale. As far as the "CC will not allow for any more coastal track seasons" philosophy goes.....my only response is to wait and see because nothing anyone says will change your mind.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just a cursory glace at some very preliminary stuff...I'll go on record right now as saying I'll be shocked if there is another La Nina next year. I call BS on the guidance....I could fathom a neutral, but warm ENSO would not suprise me in the least.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do you say that? My early hedge is to expect a lot of them next year.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can probably eliminate that magnitude of positive monthly anomaly just based off of how the first third of the month looks:
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    La Nina is the early betting favorite, but I am far from convinced. I would not be shocked to see a weaker El Nino.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fine by me...I've been convinced since January its just not the year for SNE because the longwave pattern was just off, despite the cold. It happens.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its silly....its like using July 1995 everytime it looks hot or Feb 2015 whenever the pattern looks snowy in SNE...although I think it this point, everyone knows better than to do the latter.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll go through it all in great detail later this spring, but a bit of regression here in terms of my snowfall forecast....I have had some decent forecasts overall, namely 2022-2023, just not work out in terms of snowfall...but this year largely worked out, despite a pretty flawed forecast. I'm glad I was too warm, as opposed to cold because there was a definite bias in my forecasts. I do not anticipate much more activity.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    You utilize the March 2012 analog about as much as JB does March 1993.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had two-low end warning events all season, but they both just so happened to come in relatively close proximity to one another during a cold few weeks. That is the reason its a D instead of an F.
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