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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. Yea, I would rank this ahead of 2003-2004, but kind of similar tendencies. Yea, that December 5th event got wiped that year.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's now that time of year where the pack decays quickly in the absence of replenishment.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I had to choose a winter this reminded me of it would be 2003-2004....impressive cold, but not really one I would care to relive again because there was only one good storm. ...though I got porked in the biggie that season, so this year would rank ahead of it.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It never is.....anytime there is a major storm modeled near the east coast that doesn't end up on a headline, it's usually not geographically far off from doing so. Like I said last night, it's not "over"...we are going to do this all week, but it in the end it's likely to be a blue-ball special.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, hot, steamaing pile of excrement lol
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    06z GFS appears as though it's struggling with the convection, as it has like 8 different lows.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd love to see a slightly shallower trough with the N energy phasing in more aggressively.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously track is one issue, but I would also like to see this close off later.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Like I said last week, the dip may have just been rushed...we are seeing some trending towards that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mentioned folks have up on that reversal too quickly...maybe it won't technically get there, but it will be close.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, the "fast flow" explanation is a bit too reductive IMHO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, exactly.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Irony being @MJO812has been citing the decaying block as the reason we are going to get a big storm all week
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't understand how fast flow in-and-of-itself would favor one longitude for phasing over another. Now, what I do understand is why tropical forcing overlayed onto said speed-of-flow increase may do that.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    So why does the fast flow allow phasing in that area relative to other spots?? I have my response, but interest in hearing your's....
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The band has also gotten less impressive. Everything has trended towards the EURO AI, which more like a coating to 2" yesterday.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably, but could be a decent-sized one.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Actually really good consensus now on the near miss. I expect this to end up close to reality, c0cktease runs notwithstanding.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I follow, and not sure I want to....
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chip off the 'ole CoastalWx block.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mean the January deal looked DOA, but we know how that ended.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup, I think it's going to be long haul.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    There will be one more period in March.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, Friday has always been the highest confidence outcome IMHO.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup, we'll be watching all week. Hope the knee is feeling better, all ribbing aside.
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