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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Sure, but hopefully Methuen escapes unscathed.
  2. Yea, I'm willing to concede that -PDO/-NAO is probably more hostile than it used to be overall because there is inherently less margin for error now than there was 60 years ago. However, I stand by my assertion that we have also had some bad luck over the past few years that has made things look even worse.
  3. I have noticed a theme in that a lot of the NYC guys get carried away with this.....my guess is that it's being beaten down by bluewave constantly in that thread. I still feel like the idea of permanency is ridiculous.
  4. Zero question that the coming winter season will once again feature a substantial -PDO.
  5. Not great overall, but probably not as bad as last season.
  6. I think it is very debatable whether the ONI peaks moderate or weak, but I don't think its very debatable that the atmospheric response will not be weak....the inverse of what we saw last season, whereas ENSO was out of sync with the extratropical atmosphere.
  7. Man, your posts have been really good past couple of years. Great stuff...thanks. I didn't know that.
  8. I don't think La Niña being east-based would matter much if it were weak given the state of the extra tropical atmosphere around the hemisphere.
  9. Nothing to write home about in terms of severe weather yesterday in Methuen, but there were some gusty winds and this area looked to be near the rainfall jackpot, as there was training for several hours last evening in this area.
  10. 73/98 with 1.06" rainfall yesterday IMBY
  11. Essense of why I post infrequently between April and August.
  12. Yes, this is what his May-August formula is based on. He did also say it looked better for -NAO earlier in the month. I figutred that would happen, as I have never anticipated big blocking this coming season.
  13. Its time to hang 'em up when even heat porks you.
  14. May wanna pump a few zima's into him first.
  15. Yea, the precise RH and degree of overcast are akin to subby corridors in a snowstorm....tough to nail that down, but the general idea was well modeled.
  16. Thanks...figured. Seems the dews and clouds are conspiring to make for an underperforming heat presentation today. Yestreray was slightly hotter at 94.8.
  17. I peaked at 94.3 at 140pm, but for some reason its slipped back to to 91.8...not at home, so not sure...but maybe cloud debris?
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