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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, fire danger extinguishing and drought busting are two entirely discrete concepts.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    At this point, anything qualifying as a "drought bustrer" would entail fooding, ironically enough. If we don't flood, then we aren't busting shit.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    "event stoned"
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was referring to early December...that's it. All of the other times the past couple of years he has been right.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Omega knows his stuff, too tbh....the most effective trollls are the ones who know their stuff.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    He was probably breaking ballz.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe winter will suck again, but it won't stay as dry as it has been...take that to the bank.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Locking in for winter???
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well timed....Sept through the first half of November was a perfect time for it.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Time to settle on the date/time.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay...looks like ORH it is, but that doesn't preclude some of us from gathering at Clarke's shortly before the holiday....they aren't mutually exclusive. Maybe let @weathafellatake the lead on that. As far as the ORH gathering, I think its safe to move on to settling upon a date because we seem to have a strong concensus already.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I remember last winter I fell for long range guidance and started to think December may be colder than I had originally thought....not that it can't happen this season, but the moral of the story is that in this modern climate, one should be skeptical of sustained cold until you see the whites of the weenie.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't think the cold to begin December should be a suprise to anyone, as there have been hints for awhile now. What happens during the balance of the month is the question.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    In late Novemeber, nonetheless....yea, high percentage play.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not inclined to begin the season early for this, as my gut says it finds a way to fail.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I couldn't care less...not paying any mind to that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is absolutely true.....patterns are getting more extreme and are stagnating, but at the end of the day, wet is still going to win out a higher percetnage of the time than dry relative to the past. Just as warmth is. I will bet against it remaining this dry for the next several months, but you do you....of course, that says nothing about snowfall.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definitely going to have to be a Saturday if we do ORH......I know some of the Clarke's GTG's have been on a weeknight, but I'm not driving to ORH on a weeknight.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure.....however, average is a relative term that is climate-based...is -PDO drier than +PDO on average? Sure....but I would argue that its not as likely to remain this dry as it was 50 years ago, just as the cold from those archaic -PDO/NAO analogs are no longer working out.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Remember...the changing climate stuff works both ways....Just as we are not as likely to see sustained cold moving forward as we have been in past analog, nor are we as likely to see sustained dry conditions moving forward.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it is concerning, but not a death-knell.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Instead of me arbitrarily selecting a few dates, why don't we begin with some suggestions from those who are likely to make a strong effort to attend and then I can use that feedback to inform a subsequent poll. As far as locale, perhaps we can poll that right off of the bat. I would prefer we meet in ORH just so that more of the WNE crew would feel compelled to attend and then some of us easties could always even do a side thing at Clarke's....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    What an absolutely brutal list of winters.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    The NP/EP has a comparable domain space to that of the EPO, however, it has the opposite correlations....ie +NP-EP is more favorable for east coast cold/snow. What I do for purposes of verification is flip the NP-EP and use it as EPO.
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