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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I'm very confident this drought period is about to end....doesn't have to mean Jan 2011, but we should at least get some interesting events... and the potential is there for a big score.
  2. If you're having winter problems I feel bad for you son, we got 99 pages and snowfall on none...I got the strat patrol, on the block patrol...fools that wanna make sure H5 is closed. Subby critics and defamation hoes..I'm from Methuen, stupid, where it never snows.. I'm like, fu$k the EPO, over Alaska is a black hole. When I grew up it was wet, but now its dry and all I got is a Pacific jet. I got 99 problems and cold ain't one.
  3. My analog composite had quite a robust signal for blocking in March, but my forecast was more conservative....I gotvspooked by the QBO, intensity of la nina, and the tendency for mate blocking to delay until spring of late....like last year, which burned me.
  4. Cohen expects this SSW event to evolve like 2013 and 2018....we can pray.
  5. You or one of the other three interested posters should start a thread...its inside 5 days.
  6. Bottom line is that I have had the same small bankings in tact since xmas, regardless of what the anomaly is....there has been no excessive warmth and minimal melting....weak sun and upper 30's for the most part.
  7. I didn't mean reasonably cold as in avg or below anomalies....I meant that its been cold enough for minor melting over an extended period. I knew someone would say this.
  8. Thos anomalies are due to nights for the most part...days haven't been that warm.
  9. Just me, but I'd be even more pissed without that one event.
  10. I was thinking today.....if the grinch didn't vaporize the snowpack leading into this stretch, then it wouldn't have been as bad....its been seasonably cold ever since.
  11. No.....hardly any snow from 12/17 to Jan 20+ would still piss people right the F off
  12. I figured it has something to do with terrain, but scooter saying they got slammed at sea level threw me off...convergence explains that.
  13. Glad I never bought into the strong La nina hype...I had it peaking NDJ anywhere from -1.3 to -1.5c
  14. I mean...how many people changed their minds about how badly Dec 2014 sucked? Lol
  15. They seemed to hang onto a bit of NAO, too, which shows how warm it could get if that PV really get its ass back together.
  16. I have mused about that.....you wonder if the atmosphere kind of expends that bottled up energy in spurts.
  17. I don't care what happens moving forward, that one month plus blew some of the deadest rats imaginable.
  18. Sure you can, its just more difficult to get huge events due to flow compression. It can certainly happen, though....Jan 2011 and Fen 1969.
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