40/70 Benchmark

Its because the that block extension lobe that points at Maine like an arrow.

No one would have guess that its been that warm.

Absolute agreement..1956, BTW...Will and I discussed it this AM. Only big second half on record for a mod or stronger la nina.

Last thing we should want is a whiff....if it hugged, at least it would snow, first before any flip.

All ensembles have also been consistently south. The amped OP runs that try to cut do not bother me in the least.

One would think the late January partial PNA recovery would be the ultimate smoking gun....but gotta see it to believe it, at this point.

Let me melt, will ya.

I mean, John....ifs not going to snow, I'd prefer that the atmosphere let it be known very clearly, and then proceed to shower me in sensible comfort. Having an ostensibly favorable long wave pattern that meticulously plots to utilize atmospheric chaos as a vehicle for deconstructive interference, as it relates to local snowfall is beyond sadistic. All the while maniacally sinister enough to engineer the "warm" anomalies via a lengthy aggregation of mild nights. Yea, fu** me, you and every last one of us-

GEM streams 1/26 under us, then 1/29 cuts off off of the Delmarva and slides east OTS. LOL

Part of me agrees with Henry that we just need the blocking to break down and take one of those for it to snow.

I disagree. The shear anomalies of the warmth was more inspiring IMHO....we also had the October snow bomb, even though I got porked. I would take that season over an eternity of 39 P Sunny.

If that were to happen by that point in early Feb, I would welcome the evisceration of the blocking and just torch it. I'm not sure who wouldn't, by that point.

Two more big whiffs, and then a cutter to ring in February.

This is honestly the most boring winter of my life in terms of sensible weather at the surface. I realize how enthralling its been at 60,000 feet above the arctic, but I can not recall a winter with such benign sensible appeal over such a protracted period of time. Sure, there have been winters that have been warmer with even less snowfall, but they are inherently notable because of said anomalies. I think there have been about 3-4 days out of the past 5 weeks that seen high temps outside of the lower 30s to lower 40s climo bracket. Just exotically and utterly unremarkable in every aspect.

Probably in May, when it pounds 3"/hr, but doesn't accumulate due to the sun angle.

Congrats.

We're just going to have to agree to disagree. I live north of Boston and have a jackpot fetish, so its not like I was have a vested interest in claiming that the s shore was slightly better off in the most prolific snowfall period in SNE history.

They have been showing that.

May very well be the case.

Links don't work, but I know for a fact max depths of near 4'+ were on the south shore.

Disagree. Prove it.

Boston had normal snow, but I don't know how sharp of a gradient there was to the north. I'm just tired of people raving over a phenomenon that hoards the cold on the other side of the globe 7/10 times.

They key is how does it evolve...does the main vortex go into Canada? If it goes to Eurasia again, then I'd rather not even.

I saw something on the internet comparing this SSW to 1928-1929 season....not sure about ENSO, but Boston had about normal snowfall, which fits with my forecast. Anyone know ENSO that year?

That is the only one that I know of, and is actually a decent analog.