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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/modest-wintery-threats-to-ring-in-2021.html
  2. Well, GEM actually had that band through Claremont for a few runs.
  3. I'll prob get an inch or two of snow/IP before a flip to rain...any glaze will be marginal.
  4. Yea, I think Kev does okay with a midling deal due to elevation.
  5. I am not worried about a whiff se per se......I am concerned about the surface not getting captured soon enough. There is a difference. I am sold on middling event...I think the track of the mid levels argues for that, QPF be damned. But I don't think this captures quickly enough for a big event.
  6. Oh, really? Didn't know that....thought it was more about longitude.
  7. It was okay, if forgettable out this way...I had like 8", a bit of IP, then poof....dry slot.
  8. For those wondering, this confirms why I was not a fan of the NAM. It is NOT 12" or more like the crack clowns suggest.
  9. Exactly...it will take a near perfect RGEM like evolution for our area to get nailed, or else we get hosed again. I do not buy the retarded clown maps if we don't end up in the mid level banding.
  10. Exactly the issue...it ill probably happen to late for most of us. We'll see...just my hunch.
  11. I agree. I'm not worried about OTS....larger concern is a later capture.
  12. I need a later capture for big totals. I'm not relaying on a simple compromise with respect to how far nw deformation makes it...that is always farthest NW guidance, and then some.Look at last event....only model that had it far enough NW was GEM.
  13. This is my hope...later capture. I'd rather risk a graze than subsidence again. Not a popular opinion, I'm sure, but I won't start caring now.
  14. I feel like if this explodes and captures near the Maratimes, which it probably will, you can kiss next wknd good bye and hold your stratosphere charts tightly in the footie jammies. At least we get to see that freak screaming incoherently on youtube from New Foundland.
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