Typhoon Tip

It missed us south ... no question. Last minute Charlie Brown. I was blaming it on that outflow waste that poured through the area overnight and tho I feel there's some value there, I'm also noticing the rim of the core/tallest heights arrived on the 12z sounding S of the guidance mean leading prior to today. So we were duped a bit ... These are minoring issue and probably don't account for very much ...but the difference between 97 and 102 really isn't that much, either. But it could be enough to have cost us that much of a fake out. I'm wondering if tomorrow goes ahead and stalls at 94 ?

actually 99 here for the moment ... hottest this summer now

I've been stuck at 97 for two hours straight.

Logan touched 100 apparently

Man, this 12z Euro bidness would make today seem like COC if it ever got kicked outta the west

97

Really ... I've come to find that heat goes out with a bang more so when it is tied up with a frontal/warm sector. This is broadly synoptic in scale - I may certainly be wrong but just my impression over the years, when the ridges doing these heat wave ordeals deflate, the heat does in fact leave quietly. Then, some front comes along after the fact ... interesting

Logan 99

In fairness I think Boston metro at large is vindicated ... there's enough NWS hundos here to go ahead with it

Well rats bid ... ORH is 90

I'm also less impressed with this ridge as we've come thru the finally stretch of modeling. We're not over 590 dm heights actually, which was sustained for several day's worth of model cycles in the blend. There may have been individual model/runs along the last week's worth of guidance that didn't but they must have been rarer, considering the mean had 594 dm right at that door most of the time. Yet we're 588. That's impressive enough I guess ... but it seems we were sneaky Charlie Browned by a little here. I think in order for us to get a bona fide 102 for two days in row ...the models have be down right Hadean ... so we can go ahead and tax us our cursed boning for this region leaving an actual amazing event.

97 at Logan They may be surging

I don't argue this ... but, just the same I'd like to have seen today's set up operated on by diurnal heating ... without the overnight processing event, which stayed safely N of NYC's current heat parade. I agree with that aspect you mentioned an hour ago that we may see a burst of sorts if we suddenly mix out a vaguely coherent lowest layer. Like yesterday ...

uhp 95

94