Typhoon Tip

Yeah, I was just gonna remind everyone that that is a vicious behind the shed BD raping pattern. Not a warm look for us, no way.

I suppose there's one upshot in this ... it's D6 - 14. I guess depictions in that range only verify if it means this lol, otherwise one might be inclined to suggest those charts don't have a prayer of being realized.

Yet the dailies strain endurance if one's hoping 'finished' means seasonal change. Constancy of cold toting trough succession, unending and unyieldingly preventative of any deeper penetrating and consistent spring. That's what the last several cycles of the operational GFS cinema looks like. Right out to the temporal horizons of these runs, like this 12z matter of fact, pointless blast of cold air

The last week's worth of the solar transition has been hidden from our Earth because of this unrelenting agenda by Earth to jam New England cold enthusiast heads in the sand. heh ... I'mmm fairly certain that come April 10, the March global temperature anomalies will again, for the 6th consecutive month, have an isolated blue node situated conveniently over denialism town squares. It's a warm sun ...for all intents and purposes, and equinoxian sun. Btw, the equinox is on the 20th this year, good for another 1.5 solar diameters-worth of sky ascent. Sun rise to sun set will soon be longer than 12 hours. I carry no secrets in the matter ... at this time of year I am all in a warm season enthusiast, so this all suits me just fine. Having offended (hopefully) with all that, I am still objective when looking and charts and data. I don't see interesting warmth, or interesting cold really through April 1. There's arguments for either, pretty much offsetting. Which means that either could lean on verification and it's not outlandish. "Bowling season" is a hypothetical three-week sorta window when packets of stronger atmospheric mechanics are at risk of being pinched off/abandoned by the increased background tendency for jets to retreat N. Give that antic a month's room to breath. We'll have to see how that goes, but in an even money spring, that averages to less snow as a base line probability, which defaults to bowling ball cut off cold pocket lows as the wild card. It seem this is best fit for all indicators and interpreting operational model tenors, for those that cannot find the courage to go on with life in the face of the type of weather that actually 97% of humanity prefers. haha.

Roger Smith died Really? What happened?

Kevin’s trying to create his own dopa hit

Gotta love it when the Antarctic's climo curve enters it's steepest perennial decline, yet the actual temperature's wondering off into free space ...

I was clear that March is a transitional month. By definition, that is not winter. It possesses qualities of both warm and cool seasons. The reasoning I gave is clad.

Yeah, I've never heard of March 1st climate boundaries March 21 is an 'event horizon' - impetus being, you notice nothing crossing that date. At our latitude and other geographic constraints, notwithstanding, ... March 21 doesn't mean anything to the progression of spring. You cross the equator with direct sun? jack shit. You may as well delineate the .3deg of latitude shy of the Equator that happens on the 20th and galloot about that then. If you look at our climate, March shows a defined and most obvious total -differential in both cold and snow, and.... much to the amazement of denialims, that's starting work backward into Februaries. In fact, the first day of spring should philosophically begin on Feb 10, the date the celestial mechanics imposes the escape from the solar minum into what is called the solar transition season. Yeah, March 21 ...

March 21 mean jack shit That date means nothing to physics and celestial mechanics.

Warm fronts do this ... WPC evaluates and it seems they maybe just pick a mean position, because there's like these multiple gradient axis ... One extends along the Pike up here... It's 30s and low 40s N of that, and 50s below with more regions S obs in the wind field. Fine... but go down into the Mid Atl and there's another one, where it bounces into the mid 60s. It's like there's multiple warm boundaries in a diffused tapestry and WPC just has a snake there in the midst of it all.

yeah, perhaps but ... the convection in S CT seemed coincident.

Change in climate by raw numbers since 1980 implies that in nominal forcing, March in New England ( regional variance notwithstanding) is ~ +1F for 1980 thru 2010. Hint, it hasn't gone down since, either. If one were back in early February and said a warmer than normal March, that's not a bad gamble.

So is that thunder coming on board in S CT? Looks like it's warm frontal thrust/lifting edge