Typhoon Tip

It's in the mid 70s as near by as Pennsylvania. Looping the satellite and looking at various obs give the allusion to sawing off summer with this NW deep layer band saw. Watching the sat loop you can just hear the whir of blade. anyway... looking at MEX 12z surprisingly warm this week around the KBDL-KFIT-KASH arc, within which I'm located... 78 Tues, then 80s or around 80 into next weekend... Maybe there's an end to this coldest area relative to climo on the planet bullshit.

We had a gusty shower with a single rumble of thunder. Trees were leaning a bit with heavy sheeting rain. Temp 72 to 56 ... brrrr Back up to 60... then another lighter shower and it's 58. Nice morning. Lousy afternoon. still winter.

Sweet! ...Make Kevin NYC thread's problem -

Car top frost overnight. Might be the latest I've personally seen that

He spent equal time in that discussing how the block was causing it to be cold It was even. He may be all those things you say he is but he was fair in that particular whatever it is.

Probably the June layer Lol

yeah, this thing's cold physics were modeled to be very nucleated the whole time. I mean, the hydrostatic thickness plumbs something like 15 dm spanning 6 hours and return almost fully. 552 -- 538 -- 552 I'm surprised we did not get more thunder in the region but I did see a lot more lightning detection up around the ST L/ BTV region last evening so I guess -

yeah...the more I look at this now that it's now-cast and 22/hind-sighting, this is a back door. I realize folks will argue because anytime someone makes a suggestion that interrupts one's formulating narrative on social media, there is recreational blow back if not outrage - some people are just triggered. But clearly, that explanations atones best for the oddities of this thing's total deep layer circulation behavior/history. If one were to imagine a conversation with a ruddy old denizen of western Nova Scotia he would say that about 12 hours or so prior to our so-called backdoor phenomenon down here, they get just about exactly what we are getting now. It's because the short wave impulse moves overhead up there, and sends the boundary down the coast. Our unique topography then beckons it along it's journey and it doesn't stop until the Va Capes sometimes but ...that's secondary after the process has been triggered. In this case, we're just getting the impulse moving along an anomalously path from upper VT to SE MA as opposed to typically moving E QUE to NS.

Just looking at sat ... it does seem there's a defined clearing line on the N side of a narrow "CCB" tube that pressing S pretty fast. Looks like PWM to Brian type axis within the hour, and then down here Rt 2 say ... I dunno 10:30 11 o'clock? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

It was about 1.5 to 2 hours of leaner gusts here and the last 1/2 hour we've stepped off the throttle. I was standing there in the kitchen making joe and looking out the window at it all ... you know, if one did not know any better they'd probably just think this was some backdoor on steroids. We were actually partly sunny here at dawn, with not much wind motion at all. These cold strata claw streets started moving overhead, and out of nowhere the trees started straining pretty abruptly shortly there after. We've had misty cool rains and the temperatures fallen from 52 at that time, to now 42. That acceleration with low cloud invasion and temp jolt ... it just 'seems' backdoorsian more than anything else. Yes yes we have a cyclone ...compact little fucker. Fascinating really, as it buzz saws it's way through the morning skies. It's odd tho regardless to pick up a CCB from this kind of entry. Typically, Nor'easters formulate OV transfer, or Miller As etc... Up under. This thing coming down on the NNW-->SSE azimuth is in fact an analog cousin to a S/W passing just N of CAR sending a boundary SW down the coast. It's just that the deep layer trajectory happened to take the S/W along a farther SW track ...roughly BTV to BOS

It's almost June... I get what your saying ... There is a tendency, pretty easily detectable one in this social media that occurs. First time someone senses less evening daylight on Aug 10 or so ... up, pack it in... it's over. The autumn one is the worst. Circa October 20 and the air smells like snow at 6:49 am. There's definitely an increase frequency in digging up extended model illustrations behavior that has blue paint - like we're supposed to take them seriously from behind a guise of just kidding. As well as a generalized improvement in the index. In this case... I don't believe anyone's "rushing seasons" if they sense some recent anachronistic behavior. Big words aside ... this is more than less unusual .. And it is tied (most likely...) to attribution/science on the matter, particularly with how CC has been changing circulation modes vs seasonal climatology. There are numerous papers on the matter already. This isn't just farmer John lobbing conjecture from a bad day out on the back 40.

hm the only thing notable so far about this entry into summer ( anyway) is that utter nondescript characteristic to the pattern. the modelling has almost nothing really fitting a known mode - it's just a mottled mess of irregularly spaced wave features from S of Alaska to the Atlantic at least for the next 2 weeks, it'd be difficult to predictively assess the temperature anomaly distribution

almost looks like this thing's truckin' along faster than guidance. geesh, we're dry slotting here by 10 pm

almost sub-synoptic scale. tight sucker.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Quebec-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined