Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    79,036

  • Joined

  • Last visited

6 Followers

About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

Recent Profile Visitors

115,303 profile views
  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    This will couple more than 2024 at the height of the cold phase.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/figures/db_hist_3mon_tcc.html
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    ECMWF hints at this, though I think this is exaggerated....likely closer to the coast than this. That is a resolution issue...like when the GFS places the CF near ORH a few days out from a storm.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Roundy's stuff favors W Canada.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would do okay, but could def. see it being an ORH season...they have had some uncharacteristically skunkish seasons of late....gonna see that regress.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    CFS January rendition would make some fun times for WOR folks....Miller B-East, much?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Has December near normal surprisingly. Is it a bit too cold? Probably....likely underdoing the magnitude and arial extent of that Canadian ridge, but I don't think this will be a bottom-dweller season in terms of snowfall.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is January:
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolute same page....128-495 CFs. Megalopolis Storm CF was right over Wilmington.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the European monthly depiction of precip anomalies overlaid with temp anomalies for the month of Feb. Euro is my preferred solution because it doesn't have the zonked Modoki look that the CANSIPS and JMA do....that is overdone and crap. But the Euro simply evolves the El Nino in such a manner whereas the warmth gets pretty evenly distributed..pretty basinwide for winter. You drop those type of precip anomalies, I will gladly take my chances with a +1 temp anomaly at this latitude.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do, but not during the summer....I consider that before the final write up....I go back and compare summer composites to find fits to the current year.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same page...I think this is a good assessment. I initially didn't have time for a deep dive and just looked at the IRI, but I think the dynamical data has over adjusted and is too cooked...I'd go statistical suite. I usually kill it with ENSO forecasting, but being in uncharted territory like this makes it more difficult to pin down a specific range, despite obviously knowing it will be intense.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    @GaWxI edited these down after really looking at it more...I have put most of my energy into the extra tropical Pacific of late. This is consisted with the max rate of growth observed form this point forward, which was in 1982.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Stormchaserchuck1How does this composite look now? I tweaked by subtracting the 1941-1970 climo period to wash out a lot of the lower heights and accentuate the positive anomalies in an effort to better capture the changing climate.
×
×
  • Create New...