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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Frankly, I hope you're right bc a record canonical El Niño is theoretically better for east coast winter enthusiasts than a hybrid MC oriented event. That being said, I'm not ready to bite off on that yet.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Main take away for me is it seems to be more characteristic of warm ENSO than 2023 was....granted it's probably still underestimating the MC competition, but the point is it's less than 2023, which is what I have been figuring. I don't think this winter will be as warm as 2023 in the east and I feel pretty good about saying that.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously we aren't near peak in early July...goes without saying.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    That sounds fair....may actually help December to avoid being quite as exotically warm given somewhat less MC competition.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not where I am...it was an utter abomination....but I realize we could have easily had much more snow. The warmth is what it is.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    March hasn't seen the north Pacific flip that boreal winter has over the past couple of years...it keeps reverting to +WPO. Like I said before, this isn't ALL a product of CC, but I'm sure it helps.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't have the data in front of me...I just meant it should be pretty warm. Maybe +6 instead of +13, sure.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Eventually it's going to happen...sure, the return rate maybe decreasing, but it will happen.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    (Saunters purposefully into oncoming traffic) Do we have an emoji for that?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, it will be better, but the question is how much better...as Chris says.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expect something similar temp wise, but snowfall in the higher terrain of northern New England is still a bit of a wild card. Not a pretty look overall for December, though.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 1995, 2009 and 2013 were pretty cold, but by and large, you are correct. December 2005, 2007 and 2008 were normalish...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If this sticks, which I feel like it may, we probably pull of a serviceable snowfall season next year....albeit mild.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do think we have changed to a better north Pacific pattern.....seem to have flipped from predominately +WPO for many years to more negative the past couple.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, makes sense. I think some of that is just natural variation, but it is undoubtedly augmented by CC eroding the the bookends of the cold season. I'm sure it's not happening as fast as could be inferred by the contrast between those two decades, though...my money is on a better decade for the month of March during the 2030's relative to the 2020s.
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