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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Solution Man replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep, on its own for now -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Euro is bleh. Better than 12z but worse than 18z. -
Euro still gives us a few inches even with the low way overshore.
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Snowing for 18hrs at 32 or below into the night. Think it would do just fine. But also so I believe any these models are right? No
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Because it’s so weak. Snow tv
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And for you. Good luck getting 5 inches with no rates
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Its even worse than 18z after some positives earlier in the run. It might be struggling. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Solution Man replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
At 84 it throws a mixed bag into region -
The GFS shows 2 feet in Sailsbury, what could go wrong?
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NE MD likes this run. But everyone else doesn’t. Wild how different the solutions are on every model now even inside 96hrs.
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Overall the EC is worse than 18Z but better than 12Z The CMC para is a tick SE of the OP, but improved a lot from its 12Z run.
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Maybe for you.
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Euro is absolutely horrific. Non event
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Icon is by far the worst global and the NAM at 84 or extrapolating past 84 should be weighted 0%. I'd say that regardless it's a terrible model in the short term let alone 60 or 84hrs out. The Euro/UK being OTS is the real concern, not the NAM/Icon powerhouse.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Add the Euro to the “nuisance event” category. It just doesn’t want to budge. -
Gefs was with the euro but it shifted way further west.
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This run
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The Gfs stalls the 500mb low over Ohio and then tracks it down over Virginia Beach. Not gonna help if its over Central PA.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Nice trend. I'll pencil us in for a good 4-8" tomorrow night after further bumps southeast tomorrow. -
Not really. We have the ICON showing a nuisance event at best, the UKMET gives nobody anything more than flurries, and the NAM was going to end up pretty weak too. The models are split close to 50/50 right now on the outcome.
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Drunk Unkle agrees with it. The AI euro shifting west was huge though.
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0z isnt an off hour
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Outlier right now
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Aifs eps is also further west
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Still interesting to see how the ai version is much better than the op. Who wins euro classic or euro hip
