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Pea soup fog this AM About 1.2” of rain yesterday.

Bridgeport, CT went from the driest summer on record last year to the wettest summer this year. Driest Summer Time Series Summary for Bridgeport Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Jun through Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025 3.24 0 2 1995 4.13 0 3 1966 4.21 0 4 1964 4.25 0 5 1993 4.58 0 6 1999 6.09 0 7 1957 6.16 0 8 1948 6.22 30 9 1974 6.69 0 10 1970 6.70 0 Wettest Summer Time Series Summary for Bridgeport Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Jun through Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2026 21.21 8 2 1972 20.23 0 3 1952 18.67 0 4 2006 18.52 0 5 1971 18.21 0 6 2011 18.11 0 7 1982 17.98 0 8 1992 17.27 0 9 2000 16.34 0 10 1989 15.61 0

53 degrees this morning. .11” in a quick downpour yesterday.

I'm not sure if anyone pointed this out yet, but we're experiencing a very rapid upwelling of cold water in the western Pacific Ocean, which is literally pushing the warm Kelvin wave onto the South American continent. As a result, the warm water in the east is sinking deeper. This is why we are in for a strong la nina in 2027-28 or 2028-29 (depending on how quickly the current el nino dissipates) - like in 1998-2000, which immediately followed the 1997-98 el nino. As you can see, the strong la nina years of 1998-99 and 1999-2000 (which correspond to the dark blue strips in 1998 and 1999) was the result of the last upwelling. Also, our last strong la nina was in 2010-11 (which corresponds to the dark blue strip in 2010). If we don't have a strong la nina following this el nino event, it will be the longest gap between strong la ninas since prior to the 1955-56 event.

An amazing Fall morning. Current temp and low of 52 degrees.

Bit of rain this AM.

Sea bass is the tastiest fish going. You must have fished some wrecks.

Wen’t striper fishing in June just offshore like a mile and plenty of bites. Ended up keeping two beauties. Talk about delicious. We went father out for Mackerel which is the bate, then went towards shore where the fish were. Today was more for fun with the kids. Sea bass and scup as they call it. Ended up getting a keeper so we eat this week.

You can never get a 500mb forecast composite to look perfect, though....especially considering CC because you have to use analog years to construct them.

I went with a preliminary .35 to .65 for DJFM mean PNA, and -.02 to .27 PDO. I feel comfortable with that.

Significant IMO. Really interesting year with that. I just feel like the magnitude of this event prevails through the autumn. Certainly interesting to see what happens!

How significant is the PDO though if the El Nino does not couple with N. Pacific this Fall?