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Welcome to the board. Stick around, keep posting.

That gfs run sucked. Meh outside the cape.

Several days in the 90s

Certainly not cold.

For general amateur purposes, not bad. 2005 1998 1953

That's what scooter said before February 2015. Lock it in now. Boy are you going to have egg on your face.

Yeah I am just speaking for outer shelf waters. Not Inlets-outliers

It’s coming

This might be the record CAPE for Colorado. It might be a bit overdone, with the far western Kansas station with the highest temp/dew point is 90/68 SPC Mesoanalysis said 6500 J/kg, which really should be the same exact thing as this plot, but it's not

Long Island sound is like 78-80 as discussed earlier..

With that circulation medium? that is so stupid what that model tried to do no chance. although not stupid because no model has any responsibility to correctness at that range

You have your own on the Euro. Strong pup too. Don't be stealing hurricanes it's frowned upon.

SST's are pretty wild, 72-76°F into CC/LI. Uniform. Bully TC barely notices that

Yeah we can all agree on this. And another reason to join ahatt

Euro doesn't look quite as strong.

TC, here one run gone the next. In the GOM or off HAT. Consistency within a week then maybe... Personally: House (property) under contract with nowhere to go or move to.

Over the cape.. we lock the GFS . .. the one thing 99 percent of us agree on and we can all weenie out over

It matches my thoughts from May-June. NOT that there will be an epic LF or whatever. this has been a 1950's-type summer and 1953 has been popping on analogs for a while. Maybe a close-call or something to watch, at least.

First, I absolutely realize this is the equivalent of posting a 10:1 snowfall map 300 hrs out but to my point yesterday, I think we’re heading for some dangerously prime conditions in the SW Atlantic. Sea surface temps are bath tub warm, it looks like whatever wave makes it west of the Antilles will have optimally low shear and won’t be competing with dry air. “Ridge over troubled water” pattern inbound… Lots of solutions on the table but this ridiculous one from the GFS isn’t the only model firing warning shots. The ensembles seem to like the odds of a strong system on this side of the hemisphere in 10ish days. .

Hope for a push west into Georgia

Probably should board up your windows now

We cat3?