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yeah I don't understand why there isn't at least a wind advisory into CT and arguably even a HWW.

Looks like a boring pattern for awhile.

Wind is here.

The ground will be white come New Year morning in most places. Decent s/w with the front

Narrator: they’ll mix very well down

The winds are going to be just as strong in CT and RI as they in MA. It’s just more dumb stuff from them

Yes, absolutely.

Ya, I just want a bomb crawling around the benchmark and I'll take my chances.. It's always 50/50 whether or not we get the good banding or just a solid snowfall anyways.. There's just something about tracking a bombing Nor'Easter in the Northeast.

Well that is a serious risk once you have a big shake up in the Pacific. There needed to be a shakeup because the omega ridge over Central US couldn't last forever, but the storminess that was required to shake up that ridge has the risk to continue to crash into west coast. A trough over the west naturally leads to heights rising in the east, as seen in the 0z Gfs ensembles. The storminess that was needed to push that central US ridge out can be too much of a good thing, as indicated by the 0z GFS ensembles. I would give more credence to that scenario playing out

Nice!

Who else is tracking tf out of this cold frontal passage? Torch begone. LFG. lol

Oh yeah, I understand it. That’s why I posted it. It is still irrational behavior in an objective/scientific context but I understand why people get panicky about not seeing blizzards on 300 hour OP runs. The lack of success in the KU department recently causes irrational behavior to manifest itself in that manner. I also think the utter glut of storms in the 2010s also produced irrational behavior in terms of expectations. We expected every shortwave to bomb out and give us 8-12” if not something bigger….and for a while, we kept pulling the slot level and ringing up triple 7s. It’s gone the complete opposite direction now but both outcomes are unsustainable.

Right...I had like 15" total. Fine, but nothing memorable.

I understand it looks great synoptically speaking....logically. I'm just tired of the disappointment and won't get excited until it's imminent. I get we are all generally snake bitten...but take that up a level for me...even the few times we have gotten it lately, I usually find myself a hole.

Feb 06 was awesome in West Hartford. Got 14" in 3 hours with thunder snow. Ended up with 27" I believe

Herscher CoCoRaHS pretty much sums it up in their note this morning. They're a terrible snow measurer based off past history, but this location is pretty rural and they were reporting 1/16 visibility around 7:45 am. Probably could have used a WWA considering conditions were deplorable this morning. It doesn't take much snow with these winds. I have 6"+ drifts in my backyard. Still snowing here and a bit breezy... Swapped gauges at 5:10 pm, had 0.84 inch of rain at that time. Now just a trace of snow in gauge but probably not representative due to high winds gusting 38-49 MPH (33-43 KT) all night, gusting 41 MPH (36 KT) currently at KIKK AWOS. I would guess about 2 inches of new snow/snowpack depth with lots of drifting and blowing. Visibility 291347Z 1/16SM SN BLSN

Feb 2006 had the same issue Boxing Day and 2000 did....best banding was well west. I did fine, but nothing rare...

Some of the op runs have shown some hits. I get it though. I’m as frustrated as anyone. Just hope we get thrown a bone.

It was basically a deformation band and then one band out east from strong forcing via CF up through like 850mb.

When nothing works out, holding out hope in the ensembles becomes tiresome....people need more of a crutch when beaten and bruised.

32.2F No power, trees bending, road is a sheet of ice. Thankfully we have a wood burning stove and I filled up lots of pots for water last night. Jackery power station works great for fridge, some lights and to plug in fiber internet. Let's see how warm we can get before fropa later!

That was sarcastic, but my sentiment concerning coastal mid atlantic events was genuine. I'm just sick of hearing about favorable avenues just before mother nature inevitably choses the alternative route...I half except that to happen here.

Yes I agree with that

Exactly

Was that the one where the SLP got really low and it resulted in the precipitation to become more banded in nature versus a uniform precip shield. It was like a tropical storm with heavy bands of snow and nothing in between.