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Updated Day 1 Outlook has expanded the Moderate Risk area, as well as the highest hail/tornado probabilities, to include all of DFW. In fact, latest SPC wording mentions hail up to 5" in diameter...

heaviest rain in SW CT. that radar has zippo for here lol it rained for 30 minutes here, how long did it rain by you? I wish that radar had a maximum amount listed like some do.

that 2 hours of sunshine that boosted temps into the 80s here really did the trick. It only rained for 30 minutes and then the sun came back out (but no rainbow).

lots of differences over a short area, we were in the 80s here 5 miles from JFK, we had full sunshine (as in no clouds at all) from 4 pm to 6 pm when I noticed that JFK was mostly cloudy.

Gondor calls for aid..shall we answer the call? Seriously, all smoke and memes aside, those are simply incredible shots. Thank you for sharing!

5/5/15 on morning day 1 0600Z outlook from SPC (15 hail in the southern part of the LWX CWA into the Wakefield CWA) ..Portions of the Mid Atlantic... By early afternoon, thunderstorms should increase in both coverage and intensity ahead of a weak surface low and associated weak mid-level impulse. These storms will move into an airmass characterized by mid to upper 70s F temperatures and 70 F dewpoints, overspread by modest mid-level lapse rates (resulting in over 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). Considerable veering with height will support elongated hodographs with appreciable low-level curvature, with multicells and supercells the expected storm mode. Damaging gusts and large hail may accompany the stronger storms. A few tornadoes may occur with any supercells that interact with a baroclinic boundary across eastern VA.

I don’t think we’re going back yet. The last few years have been so incredibly warm in the basin that it almost had to pull back once we moved away from the recent ENSO regime. As for this season…the SSTA in the tropical Atlantic and subtropics kind of scream stability issues but it’s early still. I’d like to see how waves fare as they come off Africa more continuously.

Steady light rain has developed in the 25 min... Nothing major in the rain so far..... But significant occasional redish lightning with long lasting rolling thunder has developed...

Updated evening AFD from LWX explains reasons for the watch SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Evening update: The main forecast change this evening was the issuance of a Flood Watch for flash flooding for portions of the Alleghenies, Potomac Highlands, Shenandoah Valley and Central Virginia from 7 AM to 10 PM tomorrow. Within this corridor, flash flood guidance is very low due to saturated soils and high background streamflow levels following recent rains. East to southeasterly 850 hPa flow to the north of the surface front will also intersect the Blue Ridge and Alleghenies, potentially leading to orographic enhancement of rainfall. A widespread 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is expected across this area, with localized totals up to 5 inches possible. This rain will likely be spread across multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms late tonight through tomorrow evening. For now, the Watch is in effect where wet antecedent conditions and potential terrain enhancements resulted in greater confidence regarding flash flooding potential. The Watch may possibly need to be expanded along the edges at a later time, but decisions for those surrounding areas were deferred to subsequent shifts due to uncertainty in the northeastward extent of the heavier rains and/or higher flash flood guidance values.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 757 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 MDZ501-509-510-VAZ026>030-037>040-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-080800- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0009.250608T1100Z-250609T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Extreme Western Allegany-Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 757 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, including the following areas, Eastern Garrett, Extreme Western Allegany and Western Garrett, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Frederick VA, Greene, Madison, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah and Warren, and eastern West Virginia, including the following areas, Eastern Grant, Eastern Mineral, Eastern Pendleton, Hampshire, Hardy, Western Grant, Western Mineral and Western Pendleton. * WHEN...From 7 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - -Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected on Sunday as an area of low pressure tracks eastward and interacts with a frontal zone. A widespread 1 to 2 inches of rainfall appears likely, with localized totals up to around 5 inches possible. Saturated soils and background high streamflow levels may enhance the threat for flooding. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

I want the rain. It’s been a long week with a wedding and retirement celebrations. Worked all day at the brewery so a dark day inside is what I’d enjoy most. But that’s rare in June so I’m expect partly sunny and passing showers and storms.

If that’s a block, f mlb.

.08" here

Yikes. We drove from BGR TO PQI and didn’t see anything other than sprinkles. I don’t think it rained here at all after we arrived around 12:30.