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26.4. Nearly 20 degrees colder than DIT. And by afternoon I'll be 5 degrees warmer.
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That's extremely bad from an ecological perspective if you care about the natural environment. Also creates more disease vectors, more allergies, damaging frosts/freeze cycles into the winter/spring. All this depends on how long this abnormal weather lasts. A few days is fine but anything over a week and problems compound.
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32.4 second straight morning
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They have IZG. Some like GHG don’t report 6hr max/mins. But yeah…still gotta update the list for some.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
- Today
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The system one the Dateline is clearly a TD, if not a weak TS. I looked at a WSF-M pass and it shows good curved banding, about 4/10 on Dvorak so that a T2.5. EIR loops attached speaks for itself. And yet there is not even am invest designation yet! And CPHC gives it only 40/50. No excuse for this. I've done TC classifications for a long time and this isn't borderline or vague.
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39 degrees this morning in little ferry.
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27 degrees and heavy frost again.
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Since @CoastalWx is in boring mode. How about this to "jolt" things? https://www.facebook.com/reel/2923636334653844 bolt.mp4
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Apparently, this may be started by the NWS in 2028 I am hearing. @weatherwiz all excited but @CoastalWx MEH b/c it doesn't help w/ snow! THREATS-IN-MOTION – FACETs-Severe National Weather Service Severe Weather Warnings as Threats-in-Motion in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 36 Issue 2 (2021)
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You forgot "LIVING IN A SHOTGUN SHACK!"
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21 for a low at KLKP. AirNav: KLKP - Lake Placid Airport PlyStWx need to update their station map! Add 1B9 (Mansfield MA). 4B8 (Plainville CT), 6B0 (Middlebury VT), 8B0 (Rangeley ME), and BXM (Brunswick ME)! And the biggest omission? (@CoastalWx will be mad) - no GHG (Marshfield MA)! That has been an AWOS for 20 years. Also, no IZG (Fryeburg ME). That's a cold spot! OGS Ogdensburg NY is missing, and just added? - N66 Oneonta NY.
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I've seen it take until almost December. Nothing new. There's been more light frost this Oct than I ever remember. This area has a climate similar to central NC. We don't do cold well.
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I do not contest the cold out W and warm in the E. but the choice of colors and the 0.5 C intervals make things look a lot more "Xtreme" than they really will be. It is a manipulative psychological thing, often done on purpose to push the extreme/crazy wx narrative. You could choose a different color table, and shows the same thing, and it would not look as "scary." For a met analysis and forecast tool it is good, but IMHO such maps, which are shared en masse on social media, do more harm than good due to the how the general public perceives them. Also, I find people do not know the difference between temp anomalies and actual air temp, the public that is. And the hype-masters out there know this. And it is taken out of context far too often. For instance, temps 8-12 C above avg DCA to BOS in early Nov is actually GREAT wx for the time of year (for most), as one example. Temps in the 70s and 80s w/ low dew points. Costs for heating are *way* down. Atypically warm in the cool season is not the same as in the warm season, not for sensible wx impact and humans. And such a pattern means little in the way of inclement wx. That is good for business and commerce. For general audience, just shows a map of actual fcst air temps, anomalies can be misleading.
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In the end, it all comes down to in situ observations. We can't possibly know the state of every cubic centimeter of the atmosphere at a given time. Even if we did, models would need to make LOTS of assumptions w/ parametrization and emulation b/c we still can't directly simulate many atmospheric processes. And the more complex models get, the challenge to keep things in balance goes up exponentially. In other words, tweak one little thing, and it breaks another, and sometime a big break in an unexpected way. @CoastalWx will just have to live w/ the fact he will never be able to forecast snowfall down the tenth of inch in Weymouth!
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One message "did you see the GFS?" and you'll look!
