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  2. No reason to have thought otherwise this early in the season. Central Park still waiting for its first freeze. Almost unheard of to enter December without having a freeze. Won’t be confident in any snow depictions until we get some real cold air in the region
  3. Which iteration of Euro AI do you guys reference cuz 06 z Euro IFS is lit
  4. Calls along the coast are usually pretty easy. Biggest question is typically will it be windy or not.
  5. You and me toast. You prefer Rye or wheat?
  6. I know. Don’t think it’s a vendor issue either.
  7. Scott being near the water in early Dec with any east wind is toast. But we will have to suffer through his angst. You on the other hand just can't help but being Nelly the Naysayer.
  8. Going with 6 fully erect IMBY final call. Even 3in would bring me to a foot here before December.
  9. At least it ends as snow here. Would be nice to grab an inch.
  10. It always looks like it has 1996 resolution.
  11. Move that precip 50 to 100 miles northwest, seems more likely
  12. I see the 6z GFS (at least) briefly get a double barrel low going. Tired of seeing those
  13. I’m hoping in one of these events it has a clue because I’m curious to see how it performs with mesoscale details like CAD etc.
  14. a lot of eastern lean there. hopefully it will have enough moisture for the northern crowd.
  15. If current guidance is very close to reality, I’d prob put you around 50/50 for warning snow.
  16. We need a 50 mile south tic, can easily go either way. I’d wager the tics go north though, we shall see, still have 48 hours til confidence really goes up in the track.
  17. Low of 32. Heading out towards Rutgers in a few hours. We are!
  18. You’ll get something. You’re close to your favorite type. All Paste.
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