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63° -DZ Windows shut to keep the warmth in

happens x we didn't even try

Why don't you post a few of these everythings?

64° here. Lot of manopausal posters apparently.

New York City has had a string of low snowfall winters in the midst of ongoing warming. Arguably, New York City is in the early stages of a structural decline in winter snowfall. Washington, DC has already made a transition to lower snowfall. So, what might it look like if New York City has entered a transition to lower snowfall and how might the evolution unfold afterward? Early-Mid-Transition: Possibly 2020s to Mid-2030s: One can expect larger interannual swings (rising standard deviation in snowfall). Very lean winters will be mixed with some big winters, increasingly defined by fewer bigger events, as warmer air holds more water vapor. The 30-season moving average could increase, at least for a time, before turning downward. Mid-Late-Transition: Possibly Mid-2030s to Mid-2040s: As baseline winters warm further, more storms fall as rain, and snow becomes concentrated into fewer, well-timed cold shots. Interannual variability declines once precipitation falls increasingly as rain. Seasonal snowfall standard deviation flattens and then falls. New Low Snowfall Regime: Possibly Mid-2040s-Mid 2050s The mean is low and the standard deviation is lower than the volatile peak, because snow is infrequent. Big snowstorms don’t vanish outright but become rarer along the coast as rain wins more often. Regional studies for the Eastern U.S. find decreasing annual snowfall but continued potential for occasional high-impact even blockbuster events (fewer in number, increasingly conditional on strong cold air). Select Charts: 30-Season Moving Average Snowfall: The Great Rise during the first quarter of the 21st Century 30-Season Volatility: A Sharp Rise in Volatility: 30-Season Moving Average Snowfall for Biggest Daily Events: Bigger Events Grow Bigger: Percentage of Seasonal Snowfall from 10" or Above Days: Bigger Storms Contributed a Larger Share of Seasonal Snowfall (Mid-1990s-2020): 30-Season Moving Average of the Number of Measurable Snowfall Days: Fewer Days with Measurable Snowfall: In sum, some of the characteristics of an early transition toward lower structural snowfall seem to be present. More time will need to pass before one separates the long-term signal from the noise of internal variability.

I hate the new white LED lights they put everywhere over the last 10 years.

Yes, you're right...I got my invests mixed up

I may be wrong, but I don’t recall the NHC delivering key messages for an undesignated or non-PTC system.

Surprised there isn't more chatter around here regarding the twin tropical potential.

Might be declared at 5pm with that LLC tucking under the convection on IR.

That may be the only thing that saves the east coast…

yeah suburban street lights suck too, especially the new LED broadband lights they've installed. Just using myself as an example I sleep at least 2-3 hours more when I'm in the Poconos and it's pitch black there no noise no lights. (Not only are there no street lights there, there aren't even any traffic lights lol.)

Disagree. 93L is far enough east it would’ve always been caught in that weakness and shipped out. 94L is exactly the kind of system that could threaten the EC this year—weak and buried in the Bahamas before finding itself potentially captured by a cutoff or blocked by an over the top ridge. We should all be selling the ops but the ensembles have been clear this is something to watch for the east coast if not a bona fide threat, which I’m not ready to call yet. NOAA is taking it seriously—we’re already getting key messages and recon out there. Edit: usual caveats for New England—meh, this no chance here, don’t waste your time.

lol you sound like me at least there are less planes flying over here late at night. it starts up around 5 am though

I also have them in my room. They are great .

I do too, it's better on Long Island. In Manhattan it might not be enough. I agree with you about smart city planning being ideal. From my previous post: The ideal solution (better than either traffic or mass transit) is to walk or bike ride. Maybe that's what PSV means? Make our cities more walkable and amenable to bike riding like they do in Europe? Their food is far healthier too (far less processed).

Brooklyn might be worse

this assumes that people aren't driving, unfortunately too many people drive through the city and the NO2 pollution from that makes asthma rates worse. The ideal solution (better than either traffic or mass transit) is to walk or bike ride. Maybe that's what PSV means? Make our cities more walkable and amenable to bike riding like they do in Europe? Their food is far healthier too (far less processed).

I have black out curtains out here. No problem

you'd need black out curtains not regular curtains. Even that sometimes isn't enough. There is a lawsuit against light pollution going on currently from an apartment complex in the city because the outside lights strobe right in through the windows and even wearing eyepatches isn't enough. Light pollution is highly wasteful and has not proven to help reduce crime at all, if anything it helps criminals see better in the dark

Traffic and environment wise yes, physical and mental health wise, no.

If most people who live in a city are not impacted, then who is impacted? I have planes flying over my head constantly and I'm 4 miles east of the airport, even places like Mineola get affected, it's a major quality of life issue. The local councilwoman is suing the FAA for jamming 13,000 flights in a month and flying planes 1000 feet lower because of newer tech. It's driving me crazy. You want to trade since noise isn't a real issue that doesn't affect most?

but asthma rates are the highest in big cities and that has been directly connected to why the the pandemic was so much worse in the parts of the city that are most highly trafficked. densely packed cities means more air pollution (mainly due to increased traffic)

It’s better from a traffic, air pollution perspective. Also proper urban planning is the best for the environment

Someoudd from today. @Jns2183 this is my fav cocktail to date - Gotlands gin, sour cherries, hazelnut, Meadowsweet vermouth