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That should be tossed to the sun

Lots of black ice here. My coworker took a digger

10 years ago today I got to 79F

There's no doubt that warming is accelerating. The blue line in the chart below is the warming rate over the previous 30-years using GISS. The 30-year warming rate started to increase at the start of the 2015/16 nino and has been increasing steadily since then. The latest 30-year warming rate includes a little over 10 years of faster warming and roughly 20 years at the slower pre-15/16 nino rate, so the chart is completely consistent with the 0.35/decade rate for the past 10 years estimated in the paper. There's no need for fancy statistics to see the increase in warming. Note that it would take until 2045 for the current warming rate if it continued to be fully reflected in the 30-year rate. The red line takes the current 30-year warming rate and extrapolates temperatures in 2050 under the assumption that warming will continue at the same rate as the last 30 years. The projection is conservative as the faster recent warming rate isn't fully reflected in the 30-year rate. Warming will have to slow down somewhat to hit the 2050 number. Of course we don't know the future. The main factor determining 2050 temperatures is our emissions. The recent increase reflects increased man-made forcing as greenhouse gases continue to increase; while, cooling aerosols have dropped. We have agency, but our ability to influence 2050 temperatures decreases as more and more of our emission trajectory gets baked in.

In keeping with the 1970s comparison; 1.) NYC hit 70+ three times in March of 1977: March 10: 70 March 29: 78 March 30: 75 March 31 close with 69 2.) NYC hit 80+ three times in April 1977: April 12: 85 April 13: 85 April 22: 83 Can we get as warm as 1977? Would be nice for a change.

Salting this morning lol. Going to be 60d next 4 days. So much for a car wash today

Still a good amount of snow left.. should take a hit today though

NAM still trying to keep it cooler tomorrow happy now?

Yea, beyond St Paddy's Day requires a much great anomaly to get even a pedestrian snow event on the CP.

Sorry meant end of month.

I’m proposing to ban that stupid emoji.

Well, it's not a climo-thing for me...it's a "the set up would blow in January"-thing....looks like we are going to have a 50/50 High.

Still time for something before mid month because pattern can support it, but it gets harder and harder…at least around here.

Go draft

And I mean it, too-

And no models posted and no snow emojis

Brutal gradient. 4.5 BDL, 1-3 near 91 in MA https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-7-8-2013

I'd rather see a Montreal-mauler.

Don’t forget the cranberry bogs too.

I could see it ending up more like a messy hugger, though....but I think the threat of another 40"er at the safe houses of Fall River is going by the wayside...

This time of year the temps will usually overshoot guidance-leaves aren’t on the trees yet so less evapotranspiration. When the high is supposed to be 65, expect 70 as long as winds aren’t onshore which is always another question.

If winter isn't over, the fat lady's warmup is now ramping up a few octaves. Discouraging to see good mets in the New England forum waving the white flag now.

Yea, mid month-threat looks like a SLRV runner right now...tough to bank on the seasonal trend at this juncture because that BZ is lifting northward.

Next week had promise. Sucks. Suppose it’s not a zero chance, but doesn’t look great.

Enjoy the pause, it’s the only pause you got.