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  2. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Yeah, the rain was nice, but this turning into a dreary week kind of sucks. I don’t think the suns been out here
  3. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Will we ever see the sun again?
  4. Chinook
    Four Corners low cold and snow. It is snowing in Colorado, but at over 11000ft at Wolf Creek Pass, so pretty high up there
  5. Ginx snewx
    But that was a qualifier. Not to say its not warmer but We had some scorchers in the early 70s. Remember not using a wetsuit until mid October . Overall September is about a 1.5 degree rise. Still some variation warmest September was 1961 now thats an absolute torch.
  6. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  7. dendrite
    Today will probably be a slight + too. This month would've been solidly AN when I was growing up in the 90s.
  8. dendrite
    Nope +0.7F
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  10. WinterWolf
    GWDLT. August was below too at BDL I believe…
  11. finnster
    I hear ya. Weighing in here from the Fort Collins area. It looks like we're way too far north to cash in on any of this moisture. Should be getting to used to that by now but still get PO'd about it! Hope you guys in Denver metro get something out of it. BTW here in northern CO and in WY to our north it's been a miserably hot and dry year, and seemingly no end to it.
  12. Ginx snewx
    Some body has said very recently that we don't have BN September's anymore despite the new normals. Probably Forky or Kev BIG 4 September BOSTON - 1.2 PVD -.04 HFD -.09 ORH -09
  13. Lava Rock
    same in pwm. Misting and wet.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hate the 1997 analog for everything but ENSO....2015 is good from a polar standpoint. This is the summer analog H5 composite I came up with.
  15. Damage In Tolland
    Won’t be either here
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ohhhhh...that makes more sense...so 50% of between -.78 and +.32...that is more palatable for me, but I would still hedge higher.
  17. Ginx snewx
    2 brutal forecast days by NWS here . Mostly sunny epic fail
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    In the whole picture I'm not seeing H5 similarities to 1997 and 2015.
  19. Ginx snewx
    What are the correlation values for New England? Good luck with your forecast. Impressive EnSO discussions. New England is a wildcard because of the correlations drop off rapidly here. Not you but I wish people would understand a pos 2 month in Eastern Canada is still bitterly cold. To say there's not going to be cold air source this winter is incorrect. It is entirely possible our pattern of cold stormy intrusions continues all fall.
  20. LakePaste25
    Close to Oct 1997 and 2015. The only difference is those years had more ridging north of the Bering sea. These were +PDO Ninos.
  21. dendrite
    I'd lean Wed morning...Tue AM we may still be mixed with CAA. But yeah, growing season may be on thin ice up here unless the intensity backs off...which is possible given it's 6 days out.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    No, May-June-July-Aug NAO was -0.75 per month, that comes out to -0.07/month for DJFM, or DJFM total of -0.28, based on 75 years. Weak correlation, but generally those 4 months negative then Oct pos is an interesting point for more winter -nao tendency.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    We have been dead-on past few years, but I may have to stray a bit this year lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay....so DJFM mean NAO of -.75...so 50% chance of having a mean DJFM NAO between -.25 and -1.25.
  25. SnoSki14
    I think the rain threat will return on the models.
  26. Ginx snewx
    Frost and freeze advisories will be flying for Tuesday morning.
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