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what about the burnt fields of cotton?
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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I ran this scenario by AI and it concluded the temperature could have reached no more than about 100-110F. It said the warming from a heat burst [compressional heating] would be no greater than the dry adiabatic warming rate, and that a surface temperature of 140F would require an upper atmospheric temperature that would be implausibly high. It suggested the burst thermometers were likely the result of instrument failure due to the sudden change in temperature. Not sure if any atmospheric scientist might want to weigh in. -
Looks like that building was basically a 'dam' with water going thru the windows AND not sure if that was flood water or coming from another source, over the roof at one point, crazy!
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if you're talking about air conditioning the combo with the higher humidity is probably worse because of how they work (condensation systems) 2010 with 101 degrees and 45 dew point was much easier to handle than 2019 which had 99 degrees and a heat index of 117 (I forgot what the dew point was those 2 weekend days.)
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Both are bad, we need the dew points in the 50s or lower, regardless of the temperature.
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Which combo is easier on climate control systems?
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The Inferno Model is out to 42. Let's see if it backed off at all from the oven like temps
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I mean if it’s 94/78 that’s a 110 heat index which is quite dangerous. 104/68 is a 111 heat index.
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this reminds of coastal huggers that make it rain at the coast while it snows inland. That is what this kind of heat reminds me of.
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2002 I agree with but not 1988 we had much more backdoor fronting going on in 1988. It was hot no doubt but not on the level of the summers at the top (1993, 2010, etc.) We need a way to measure heatwaves the way we measure KU, coverage counts with KU events too. Thats why the top two events are March 1993 and January 1996.
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but we don't know how reliable those thermometers are or if they meet NWS criteria, it's like reading snowfall reports from a PNS. Plus for the heat to actually be historic it should cover more of the area like it did in 2010 and 2011.
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Agreed andI had posted as long or longer stretched of heat since the 40s/50s including the 1988 and 2002 heatwaves for other parts of the forum.
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In my opinion this is going to be the bigger story. High HI readings. DP's in the upper 60's and low 70's along with 95-100 degree temperatures not pleasant. Lot's of bed wetting going on with EXTREME max temperature forecasts. Dubious outcome on that, especially this far out. Interesting to watch for sure but you could be disappointed. Will be nasty combo of temperatures and dews though. Heat related advisories and warnings will be flying down the road. High dews will make for miserable warmth urban areas during the overnight hours as well.
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Beautiful summer day. Highs around 80 with reasonable dews. Sat out on the deck for a little sunbathing. Feels good!
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The 5 boroughs of NYC has had 100° heat numerous times since 2013. It’s even possible that 100° heat in recent years has made it to interior NW Nassau. But we don’t have enough thermometer coverage in that area to know.
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2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You can see the rural effect warming in your data for Caribou, Maine as well. Another remote community near the Canadian border. Look at all those record-breaking June temps in recent years! The complete opposite of what the UHI lie would suggest! -
Nothing on the ground. Potential funnel near Hibbing, but that's all. Heavy rains of 2-3"+ with 4"+ reported around Virginia here in NE MN. 0.29" here in town with some thunder during the evening.
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it's not just a local thing, and NYC makes the list too. I'm not convinced this is just about the sea breeze either, as our heat was much more prolonged in the 1940s and 1950s. CC has blunted extreme summer heat in our area, lowering the number of extreme heat waves (7+ days in a row over 90).
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2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would argue it translated to the surface in 2022 & 2024, as well. If you look at Bradford, PA, useful as one of the more remote and sparsely populated locations, in the Eastern CONUS. We see it had never hit 90F in the month of June dating back to 1958 in the month of June prior to 2022. The monthly record of 89F was tied in 2021. In 2022, it reached 90F twice - including a record-breaking 93F on the 22nd. It reached 90F last June an incredible three times! Additionally, it reached 89F once each in 2022 & 2024 (the former monthly record high). Just an astounding run. I expect more record-breaking heat in the mountains of northern Pennsylvania with this upcoming heat ridge. What was once without precedence is now a yearly occurrence! I like to think of it as rural effect warming. Certain persons/entities claim warming is being enhanced or caused by a so-called urban heat island effect, but then when you look at the actual numbers, it's often the most remote locations breaking records all the time. So, the urban heating theory makes no sense. If anything, modern technology and siting/exposure standards are such that the UHI signal is less impactful as it was in the past. -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
UnionCountyNCWX replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
Weather: it's hot. Check in next week for the same thing lol. -
Just because coastal areas haven’t seen 100° heat since 2013, doesn’t take away from the record to historic heat experienced in our forum away from the sea breeze.
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Nothing met the criteria in june for heatwave with 99 degree or higher reading.
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we're just going for the 3 local airports plus the park to define historic
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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike
TheClimateChanger replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, I doubt there's ever been a case where the entire region was AOA 100F on the same date. -
MTP has a New England climate Chris. I'd argue for our 3 airports plus Central Park being enough.