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Eps looks like it'll come in with a similar qpf/storm progression outcome, thought likely not as extreme, as the operational.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Baroclinic Zone replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
They blew em out! -
Let me be the first.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
BrianW replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Thankfully I don't live anywhere near Newark. I have been out on my boat just about every day this week and the long Island sound water temps are still mid 70's. The middle of the sound out to the race is still 75-77 degrees.. -
Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.
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Cold and snow are much less correlated north of 44 N.
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Called it.
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Euro coming in pretty wet now too thru 78hrs and more to fall.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah for record highs in the winter at least, the classic way to do that around here is a Great Lakes Cutter tracking north and west of here. rainy/wet snow/slop mix coastals without cold air are more of a warm overnight low type of deal, and those are what I expect. December 2015 was the weird one because we actually did get lows going well NW despite being a super El Niño. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yeah it's weird. Always seems to happen around this time of year too. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Have a link to the actual main site? -
The storm after the storm. Thats the one to watch
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
El ninos are usually even more overcast than usual in our already overcast winter climate. That automatically keeps lows up. Though I still expect a subzero night or two. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
powderfreak replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
60/39 The house is a little chilly all the sudden, ha. Crazy how it can go from stuffy the other day to wearing a hoodie inside. - Today
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2016 looks okay for Feb.... -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brian5671 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Turned it off here this morning. Hopefully for the last time this season but you never know. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Going on strictly VP, nothing compares. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I can't find a match to this, though. 1997 is closest.... -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I can't find an analog that has forcing as expansive throughout the tropical Pacific during the month of December as this year is forecast.....1983 looks like a good match for January, as it begins to erode a bit on the eastern flank...the image below is reflective of VP on the color scheme, with the contour representing preci rate to really hone in on the best forcing.
