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most of the storms are overnight so it's not a heating type setup.

My guy stops cutting which is nice. I feel bad for the loss of income though

Obviously some hyperbole there, but I jsut don’t see anything deep summer for a long time aside for a few days to start July.

Yo Don... something to maybe keep an eye on. The longer range ensembles from all, EPS/GEPS/GEFS are doing something interesting. First, a strong -PNA wave function sweeps the continent. An ~ 90W ridge balloons. However, just when the heat is poised to move in here, we either only get day or so, or perhaps a failure/ shunt entirely. The reason is the total scaffolding suddenly, rather abruptly ( suspicious, more below) en mass the fields roll back out W. Not clear why that is happening and it is suss, but that reposition to the Sonoran Desert/PHX region instead would make Europe seem a like a mild day to the Inuit. Talking 120+ to perhaps the big 1 3 0s Hell hath no fury should a Sonoran Heat Release ever actually happen. About that... not sure it will. The hemisphere has been persistent really since last summer. Year's worth or more ( frankly) and counting. Hell bent on making sure we continue what happened all last winter: SE Can/NE U.S. is the coolest relative to the whole planet despite every month at a Global empirical result being 1, 2 or 3 warmest since thermometers were invented. Right now, currently being in 3rd place for historic inferno at a Global scale for June; which is likely end in 2nd or even vying for 1st. This looking back along this behavior, it's about a .75 to .12 C gain to loss ratio/behavior, so granted, I'm only roughing a linear extrapolation; if so the abv slope figures for about 16.8 by the end these next 9 days but we'll see.... One thing I'm noticing about that retro/heat rollback west, however... It looks too sudden, at too large of a scale. The entire mass of the planet won't do this typically. It seems to be happening right as the entire scope of the hemisphere ( in all three ens systems) suddenly abandons the anomaly distribution. All wave functions, on-going, just abruptly dissolve/collapse into base-line above average everywhere ... Odd. that en mass unilateral holistic behavior all at once ... mmm that's suss to me. But we'll see.

Seems like tomorrow morning is our best shot, but that could easily miss south.

Average to just above normal is fine for July and August All set with that HHH (94/78) bs

Of course they still come around. They need their weekly pay day

Looks like it’s going to be hit and miss with the rain here later today and tonight. NNE looks like a better spot for widespread stuff. Hope we catch a downpour

Ha. I know we’re entering niño, but I think we need to define “summer” before I cancel it. usually finds a way to get us somewhat AN.

Well we definitely have more humidity today. Here in Frederick is is pretty much overcast with some occasional peaks of blue skies. Where I am at currently I can see the Catoctin Range and it is a gray haze looking West over them. Not sure what to expect from today. Either I will be surprised by some rain maybe even some rumbling. Or it will just be another overcast humid day. 50/50 craps shoot.

When did I ever say that? It's been comfortable other then a week of crap.. a/c has been off most days.. I don't live south of the Pike so honestly don't care .. you say some dews 65 to 70 so you can claim that your right even its just a day or two.. were going to have (some) days in the 70s.. ill claim victory now

You are acting like it’s been a cool BN summer. I mean look at the MTD numbers lol. After today’s failed heavy rain event south of pike it’ll warm AN rest of week . And the Julorch look the first 10 days or so looks similar. AN with some dews of 65-70 and no big heat. That’s still a very summer pattern

Latest sunset around June 26/27 in our hood. I do love the long days for summer

Ya that was a bit brutal.. average to slightly below from here on out.. but yes we will get hot days.. also looks like above normal precip

Well, WB 3K NAM now has a Tuesday soaker for southern zones. Significant shift north compared to 6Z. I guess this is why we always go crazy all winter... precip. Field making big shifts inside 24 hours.

Atleast no one can deny the days are getting shorter from here on out

The big heat just keeps get beaten back... it will get here. Just delayed. For now I am sticking with that May heat being the hottest for MBY for the year though

Long vacation to Florida this Summer?

Cooler and wetter pattern shaping up with a few hot days mixed in

Never said hot summer. But it is and has been AN. The humidity is what will be remembered starting later this week and beyond

Yeah, the ensembles from all three are doing that... Just when the heat is poised to move in, we either only get day or so or it may even shunt entirely because the total scaffolding rolls back out of no where. 129.34 F throughout the Sonoran Desert/PHX region instead ( if that does that, they're doomed. Europe will seem a like a mild day to the Inuit) Hell hath no fury should a release ever actually happen after that but as you say...it seems the hemisphere is hell bent on making sure we continue what happened all last winter: SE Can/NE U.S. is the coolest relative to the whole planet despite currently being in 3rd place for historic inferno at a Global scale for June, and likely to be end in 2nd/vying for 1st. You you ... I don't think I've seen a legit Sonoran Heat Release in years at this point because of this weirdness. Puzzling. One thing I'm noticing about that retro tho... it seems to be happening right as the entire scope of the hemisphere ( in all three ens systems) suddenly abandons the anomaly distribution. All wave functions, on-going, just abruptly dissolve/collapse into a base-line above average everywhere ... It's like an exaggerated PNAP is how that is expressing over N/A. But that en mass unilateral holistic behavior all at once ... mmm that's suss to me. But we'll see.

We will get our hot days but the upcoming pattern doesnt look great for it.. no idea what hes seeing.. looks like comfortable summer weather to me

And do we have a way to measure seasonal humidity vs past years?

Cancelling summer in mid-June... noted We will get our shots Still expecting AN overall for JJA... maybe nothing huge or historic, but it will be hot at times

his hot and humid summer is not happening. Maybe later July or August we can finally get a trough in the Midwest but who knows.