cyclone77

Hopefully we can get a decent rainfall tomorrow morning with the crapvection, as the afternoon stuff looks like a non-event for this area. Been a nice and rainy past month or so, but sort of a drier stretch coming up for the next few weeks. Still have ground to make up for that abysmal Aug-Feb stretch of dry weather.

Central and southern IL still in the game, and into Indiana later on. Northern IL looks pretty cooked to me.

Be sure to check back in with us in late May after we have our below average May.

The Slasher (Thompson) already removed 10% tor probs over Kansas for today's setup.

Best bet for the northern IL play to work out is for the morning convection to blast through quickly/faster than current model forecasts, and then the rapidly overspreading mid-level lapse rate plume could recharge that area pretty quickly by mid-afternoon. No question there's gonna be a large amount of morning convection, but if we can get it to blast out of the area by midday there may be enough time to recharge.

Lots of ongoing morning convection on the models over Iowa/northern MO and into northwest IL. Likely to push the best chances for afternoon main show south and east of the DVN cwa.

Picked up 0.05" of decaying Iowa leftovers.

Bad timing for this event for this area. Most of the stuff will have crapped the bed before reaching here later tonight. Next shot at decent rains will come Monday.

Illinois is the new Oklahoma.

First thing they think is probably damn that windex!

Hard freeze with 28 here this am.

Can definitely tell where the heavy rains have resided over the past several weeks by this map.

31 here this morning. Looking like 26-28 tonight. Most of the trees have leafed out, some quite a bit. Not sure how bad this hard freeze will be on them.

What a difference a day makes. At this time yesterday it was already 70/62 with a ripping southeast wind. Today at the same time it's 39 with a wind chill of 27.

Wow, it's like a whole different world up there. Nice vid. Finished with 0.78" rain for the day here. That brings April up to a healthy 6.68", and 7.09" since March 31st.