IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 The Euro ensembles are actually a touch wetter than the op. They have been for several runs in a row. I think the Euro op is moving things out too quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 NYC is exactly 12mm on the GGEM, which is just about .50". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 NYC is closer to 12-14mm. I'll give you that. It's definitly dry as compared to the rest of the guidance. Especially west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 You can always stay in Bay. P.S. Fluke run is on fire right now in the ocean. Ive been using the gulp alive 4" pearl white mullet this year and i have been killing it inside fire island inlet. Yea alot of shorts but also 2 23" fluke this year on them as well. Went outside the inlet tuesday (very rough with it being outgoing and strong west wind and caught a few fluke no monsters though. Sunday IF its not too bad we'll go out about 1/2 mile to southwest of the inlet. They're is an amazing cut there that me and my father have had some awesome success drifting through this year the big fluke just havent been around like last year where when i went out it was which one was bigger to keep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 NYC is exactly 12mm on the GGEM, which is just about .50". 0.47" if we're splitting hairs and on the edge of a sharp cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Yeah my 6 year old nephew caught 16 of them the other day out on the boat. It's been amazing these last 2 weeks. Have caught dozens of fluke in 4-5 trips. Biggest 28" or about 8 pounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 It's been amazing these last 2 weeks. Have caught dozens of fluke in 4-5 trips. Biggest 28" or about 8 pounds. i know anywhere west of Jones Inlet both in the bays and ocean you've been getting some pretty sizable fluke. Going to try and troll the ocean next time for some gorilla blues too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 It's been amazing these last 2 weeks. Have caught dozens of fluke in 4-5 trips. Biggest 28" or about 8 pounds. That was fluke that I ate yesterday right? Keep catching them because it was delicious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Hard to imagine Saturday turning out anything other than wet and then damp for the remainder of the day-no clearing. Maybe there's hope for Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Hard to imagine Saturday turning out anything other than wet and then damp for the remainder of the day-no clearing. Maybe there's hope for Sunday? It was pretty easy to tell for a while that there would be a good chance for wet weather this weekend with the front being hung up close to the area. Models have shown that setup for the better part of a week. With us being in the right entrance region of the jet and tons of moisture from the Gulf, some of us could be in for a good soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 That was fluke that I ate yesterday right? Keep catching them because it was delicious Yes. Caught in the LI Sound. Fluke is very underrated. IMO, it's the best tasting local fish. Blackfish is the only other one that comes close. Black Sea Bass is good as well, but that's more of a fishier taste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Yes. Caught in the LI Sound. Fluke is very underrated. IMO, it's the best tasting local fish. Blackfish is the only other one that comes close. Black Sea Bass is good as well, but that's more of a fishier taste. I love bottom fishing. Sure, stripers and blues put up more of a fight but nothing quite like bringing up a doormat. I agree, best fish to eat in the area. I love black sea bass as well. We had a friend that owned a sushi bar. He would close early and we would bring him the fluke and sea bass and he would cut it up for us and we would have a feast. Those were the days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Hard to imagine Saturday turning out anything other than wet and then damp for the remainder of the day-no clearing. Maybe there's hope for Sunday? Upton's still not convinced going with 40-50% chance and temps low 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Upton's still not convinced going with 40-50% chance and temps low 80s No way do we see low 80's unless it misses us altogether. Knowing how Upton works they will slowly up %'s and lower temps. Expecting one day in the 60's here if we get a soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Hard to imagine Saturday turning out anything other than wet and then damp for the remainder of the day-no clearing. Maybe there's hope for Sunday? The 09z SREF are pretty wet for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Some real soakers for the area amongst the 09z SREF through Sunday evening with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 It could be a situation much like a couple of weeks ago where T-storms train over one area and drop several inches of rain. There's a ton of moisture available and good upper level dynamics to allow for heavy thunderstorms. Hopefully this isn't an all weekend affair and some of it can be salvaged, but the models seem to be increasing the duration of the rainy periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 And now here comes the 12z GFS which is mostly shoving the rain out to sea. Still a lot of uncertainty with this setup it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 And now here comes the 12z GFS which is mostly shoving the rain out to sea. Still a lot of uncertainty with this setup it seems. The GFS has been pretty eractic though as compared to the Euro which really hasn't waivered. The Euro has good ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Go gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 what's the NAM got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 GFS is around 0.25" or a little more than that area wide. In other words, a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 The GFS has been well southeast now for the 18z, 00z, 06z and 12z runs. Nothing really noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 The GFS has been well southeast now for the 18z, 00z, 06z and 12z runs. Nothing really noteworthy. 12z Rgem looks east as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 what's the NAM got? Over amped as usual. Has the bulk of rain further inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 12z Rgem looks east as well. The RGEM at hour 48 is no better than the NAM. Won't really be in range until 00z or 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 12z Rgem looks east as well. that's interesting. Looks like 2 camps now, Euro/NAM vs GFS/Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 It's certainly possible that we might see an over correction east today before the models jog back to the west tonight. Nothing unusual in this range. The 12z GGEM is coming in way east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 It's certainly possible that we might see an over correction east today before the models jog back to the west tonight. Nothing unusual in this range. The 12z GGEM is coming in way east. or a correction to the correct solution-well east. Getting awfully close for such a big shift if it's model noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 or a correction to the correct solution-well east. Getting awfully close for such a big shift if it's model noise. I'll be impressed when the Euro shifts east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.