Novtorcher Disco Thread

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Euro AI shows overwise

It backed waaayy off . Had 2-3” earlier runs 

[Typhoon Tip]

it's like Indian Summer used to come after a period of substantial frosts and/or even a snow fall back in the days of lore... Now?  all we have to be is relatively cooler, than we get near 80

[Damage In Tolland]

Noticed one of the Azaleas in backyard had some new flowers blooming today . 

[forkyfork]

novemborch 

[Elim72]

35 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

novemborch 

 

[powderfreak]

4 hours ago, MarcmmKU said:

It'd be a miracle at this point if NNE gets even close to seasonal snowfall. We can already see a preview of the winter pattern next week with the screaming pac jet and arctic air bottled up to nunavut.

I don’t like hyperbole early on, but I think I would be fairly shocked if the mountains get near normal snowfall this winter on composite super Nino years.

Thats not to say it won’t snow, heck 235” on Mansfield is below normal.  But it feels like the deck is stacked a bit, especially if it’s a slow start.

It takes making up some good ground to make up for struggles in even Nov/Dec when you need to hit even monthly normal totals in Jan/Feb/Mar.

Now, for NNE as a whole?  The lower climo snowfall areas near population centers can rely more on several good synoptic events to get closer to normal.  I think my fear up here is the daily light events struggle if it’s warm, and the 2-6” type stuff that adds up over time creates a deficit.