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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation


40/70 Benchmark
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9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

These last few pages are gold. Tweets, obscure models, it has everything. The reality is, it’s 70+ this week and it doesn’t look like we’re cooling down anytime soon.

You know the winter looks bleak when you have to dig really deep to find something positive 

I don't even bother looking at anything until post-Thanksgiving. Some can't help but torture themselves with 10 day OP model runs in October, which boggles the mind. 

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19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

These last few pages are gold. Tweets, obscure models, it has everything. The reality is, it’s 70+ this week and it doesn’t look like we’re cooling down anytime soon.

You know the winter looks bleak when you have to dig really deep to find something positive 

Not necessarily. No one's saying winter is looking bleak. As a matter of fact, there are definite factors in play that can totally give us a different outcome historic El Nino in place. There are things happening now that have never been seen as far as polar vortex split in early November and some other signs as well. Either way, there's no definite cause for canceling winter. But I also know that you're very pessimistic. I don't mean that in a mean way, I just know what your defense mechanism so you don't set yourself up for disappointment.

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Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Not necessarily. No one's saying winter is looking bleak. As a matter of fact, there are definite factors in play that can totally give us a different outcome historic El Nino in place. There are things happening now that have never been seen as far as polar vortex split in early November and some other signs as well. Either way, there's no definite cause for canceling winter. But I also know that you're very pessimistic. I don't mean that in a mean way, I just know what your defense mechanism so you don't set yourself up for disappointment.

The PV stuff is click bait.

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1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

 There have been quite a bit of legit mets with this info. But we shall see (it wouldn't be something we see until mid November). 

Like who? lol. 
 

It’s going to lead to a warm November across the CONUS and then restrengthens in December.  

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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Like who? lol. 
 

It’s going to lead to a warm November across the CONUS and then restrengthens in December.  

Well.. not sure if Judah Cohen counts. He has mentioned this. Also one of the Mets here in Connecticut that I follow and listen to his morning live everyday mentioned this today of this possibility. I also follow a guy from Northeast weather... I've followed him for the last few years and I have to be honest, he has been pretty much right on with a lot of his research. He's not a clickbait guy.

Now, I guess time will tell if this actually happens in mid-november. Maybe you're right, but you're also not a professional met, so for you to jump on me that quickly it's kind of rude LOL. But no feelings are hurt here :-)

I guess we'll see what happens in mid-november. If I'm wrong, so be it. No loss for me, but if this does happen, it could get very interesting.

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15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Not necessarily. No one's saying winter is looking bleak. As a matter of fact, there are definite factors in play that can totally give us a different outcome historic El Nino in place. There are things happening now that have never been seen as far as polar vortex split in early November and some other signs as well. Either way, there's no definite cause for canceling winter. But I also know that you're very pessimistic. I don't mean that in a mean way, I just know what your defense mechanism so you don't set yourself up for disappointment.

The background state is about as bad as it gets for SNE. Not really sure how you can dispute that. I’m not pinning my hopes on some obscure feature to save us.

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Like who? lol. 
 

It’s going to lead to a warm November across the CONUS and then restrengthens in December.  

November is going to look a lot like October. Just shave off ~5 degrees on average. Instead of 60, it’ll be 55, etc 

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