WxWatcher007 Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted Tuesday at 10:30 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:30 AM On 10/25/2026 at 6:05 PM, WxWatcher007 said: We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast. I disagree. Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November. About a 30% chance of another hurricane. Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda. Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief. Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean. The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Tuesday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:10 PM 2 hours ago, jconsor said: I disagree. Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November. About a 30% chance of another hurricane. Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda. Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief. Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean. The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics. The season is done. It's almost impossible to get a named storm in November during an el nino. We couldn't even get one in November in 2023, and that season had 20 storms. 2 named storms and another hurricane is wishful thinking, especially in a season that's been very quiet. Maybe in the Pacific basin, but not in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Tuesday at 05:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:22 PM I disagree. Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November. About a 30% chance of another hurricane. Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda. Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief. Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean. The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics.Don’t forget water temps have skyrocketed in the MDR in the last couple months. At the very least it’s setting up for a big season next year. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Throwback to Melissa's intense eye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago On 10/27/2026 at 9:10 AM, PhiEaglesfan712 said: The season is done. It's almost impossible to get a named storm in November during an el nino. We couldn't even get one in November in 2023, and that season had 20 storms. 2 named storms and another hurricane is wishful thinking, especially in a season that's been very quiet. Maybe in the Pacific basin, but not in the Atlantic. In the 4 previous very strong El Nino years, Last TS or HU formation date 1982 - 9/30 1991 - 10/31 1997 - 10/14 2015 - 11/8 So odds would suggest we are done for the season. Nothing apparent on the models for the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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