Scottie16 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Seems to be a wall at the Appalachian Mountains. Some SC peeps on X are gnashing their teeth. They'll get some storms and wind but it literally blows over. Slower moving rain and systems are here on our side. Thursday looks like more of the same. Big ol' slug of moisture will come up from the Gulf. Some hints of even a LLJ into the Tennessee Valley. After some good rain around here the system speeds up and fills over the Carolinas with lower QPF that way. We still have a long way to go on our own drought. I suppose we'll make more progress later this week. My lawn seems perfectly fine now.Yup, Southeast ETN has been getting a few soakers the past few days. Finally had a good sunset today after a weeks worth of dreary clouds. This is facing your neck of the woods.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golf757075 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Hello everyone. Half the year is over. Here's hoping we can get one decent winter storm this winter. Its always fun to track them but its always about timing 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 Already looking like tomorrow's rain will bust again here. Brutal. This fall will be rough if things don't change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 17 Share Posted June 17 Yeah it'll split around us. Front should get into northwest Tenn. Risk farther east and south is that subsidence northwest of the decaying TC squashes things. Then the said TC remnants are sliding deep south. That'd be nice in winter. Somebody has to say it, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 Looks rough Daniel Boone's way, flash flood warning and a tornado warning both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 18 Share Posted June 18 I've gotten a few light showers, but just barely north of me .75 to 2 inches have fallen. I thought the storms in Kentucky were going to move south but they appear to be moving NE now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 Over 3 inches has fallen here since 3 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregLCweather Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 Received about 1.5" of rain from yesterday here at my location. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 I managed .65 as things were mostly south or north of me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 Only 0.25" here. Way more in every direction all around me. Oh well. Still doing ok on a monthly basis and more is coming Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 Wound up with 3.93" here. North Jonesville officially 4.06" . Pennington gap, 4.57". Radar estimates of 5-7 inches northern Lee into Western Wise County. Powell River flooded Big Stone on down to Jonesville. Creeks and Streams flooded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 6 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Wound up with 3.93" here. North Jonesville officially 4.06" . Pennington gap, 4.57". Radar estimates of 5-7 inches northern Lee into Western Wise County. Powell River flooded Big Stone on down to Jonesville. Creeks and Streams flooded. Norris can use that water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: Norris can use that water. Even though it caused some issues, it was a godsend overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 It's like Cross Mountain is a wall these days where all rain goes to die. Heavy radar returns just fall apart and the rain just splits. I had about 10 minutes of a shower. I don't recall in my lifetime ever seeing rain dry out specifically over this small area so often. I've seen droughts before but this one seems like almost a micro drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Starting this weekend through the Fourth looks like some summer temps are coming. Numerical models and humans looking at Nino and teleconnections promise it's brief. Talking the week in question; then, back to where we are now. Hopefully those signals for just one week hold! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Ended up with .90, areas 10 or so miles south picked up around 1.5-2 inches. Fortunately its been cloudy and drizzly today with temps in the mid 60s. So the rain has been a able to soak in with not much evaporation loss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I hope we get some rain down between Friday night and Sunday. Temps near 100 showing up for next week will exacerbate the drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 The GFS is still baking the heat into the area but the Euro/Euro AI are more reasonable looking. Still hot but 4-6 degrees cooler than the GFS is advertising. Looks like MRX has followed the Euro temp guidance for my area today vs the GFS yesterday. They had my high at 97 Wednesday during yesterdays forecast, today it's 93. The 12z GFS is showing 98 over my area Wed/Thur/Friday still but the Euro AI shows 90-92. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 The 12z Euro came in looking like the GFS, or even hotter, for the lower elevations. 100+ for Nash, Knox, and Chattanooga next Saturday on it. The AI is still more in the low to mid 90s camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 NBM which does really well on temps is mid-90s with some 97 and 98s. I was skeptical its first year or two. A mid-range high-res ensemble? Well the NBM has performed very well both winter and summer high demand weather. Guess it'll bust occasionally like anything, but I'm optimistic we can avoid widespread 100s. That said, somebody will get there. Also humidity will be atrocious. Also regardless of anything heat index 100-110 will be hazardous. We are not acclimated yet after the modest start to summer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 The 06 GFS is advertising a ton of thunderstorms consistently across the area during the next two weeks, with around 8 inches of rain over my area. That would be both a drought buster, and would hopefully constrain the heat a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 Managed some rain this evening but not a lot. Hopefully we get soaked tomorrow and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 The rain is delivering today. Heavy downpours and it actually thundered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 28 Share Posted June 28 The rain is done the opposite of busted today, and we are flooding. Heavy rain and thunder going on out there now. I've not looked at the rain gauge this morning yet, but 1.5 inches had fallen when I checked at midnight last night and it's poured all night since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted June 28 Share Posted June 28 Hopefully everyone is safe where it’s flooding. It was a total bust here in middle but looking at KY and other areas, I am glad it did bust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 28 Share Posted June 28 Closing in on 6 inches of rain since yesterday now, with it still coming down pretty good right now. Only an occasional rumble of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 28 Share Posted June 28 Just had another round of rain but the worst of the flooding has receeded. Plenty of neighborhoods near creeks were under 3 to 4 feet of water, and a highway is closed due to a rock slide. The main creek near my house rose around 8 feet in about as many hours. It was basically in a low to almost no flow state through one opening and around 12 inches deep where it goes under the bridge. Now it's flowing through all three openings and it's around the 9 feet deep mark. There was a fairly large area of Morgan, Scott, Campbell and areas just south/east that got 6-8 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Monroe county has been hit or miss with rain. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Had another rowdy and loud thunderstorm about an hour ago that put down nearly half an inch of rain. I assume it will just add to the humidity tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 11 hours ago, Scottie16 said: Monroe county has been hit or miss with rain. . All misses down here this weekend. I could see the clouds off to the NW, but they never materialized into rain. It was pretty darn hot yesterday. My PWS peaked at 93.6 with a DP of 77. That calculates a heat index of 108. I'm confident that my PWS overestimates the DP consistently, but the point still stands: it's hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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