Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread

[John1122]

And since my tomatoes are planted, the GFS is throwing out accumulating snow for the plateau/mountains.

[Matthew70]

22 hours ago, John1122 said:

And since my tomatoes are planted, the GFS is throwing out accumulating snow for the plateau/mountains.

Sadly the rains were meager if even that for the midstate.  The winds were some of the most intense I’ve experienced.  I was driving home from seeing my daughter at college.  My wife was scared at how bad it got. 
It does appear the drought is taking hold & usually dominates the wx when they do take hold. 

[Matthew70]

Well pretty much all the rain what little there is went south of middle TN. Ugh.

[John1122]

Ended up with .75 rain, about 20 miles south of me in Southern Campbell, N Anderson there was a jackpot zone that had almost 2 inches.

[Carvers Gap]

We have managed a couple of decent rain showers.  It won't dent the drought, but it will provide some temporary relief.  As for relief, there might be some on the way as we begin May.  Temps look to fall BN right as we end April and begin May.  It won't be anything overly shocking I don't think - some frost likely I think.  It will feel sharper than it really is due to the much AN temps we have seen(summer like) during the past couple of weeks.  Hopefully, that heat has abated until its proper time.  I don't see mid 80s on my phone any longer, and that is a relief.  We don't want summer heat building during April.  Even with La Nina fading, any residual effects from that dying Enso phase could still produce very hot and dry weather.  Hopefully, Enso neutral and Nino conditions take hold sooner than later.  That should bring more precip and moderation of temps.  

[nrgjeff]

Yeah we got rain last two fronts, which is some encouragement. QPF came in under, not a surprise in drought - but at least it's raining. 

See if we can accomplish more this weekend into next week. Even poorly timed waves (see my severe rant) can bring rain. Seems like a decent bet. Then we'll see how long we can milk the southern jet stream next week. 

Could it be a drought breaker? Could it just add humidity before the SER gets on steroids? I don't believe the CFS or Euro weeklies. Check back in June!