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February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS


Mikeymac5306
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Winter storm warning for 10-16” in my backyard, can’t wait to see the map in the morning 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

PAZ070-071-101>106-212100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1200Z-260223T2300Z/
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western
Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Doylestown, Morrisville, Kennett Square,
Pottstown, West Chester, Oxford, Norristown, Media, Philadelphia,
Collegeville, Chalfont, Perkasie, Lansdale, and Honey Brook
327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10
  and 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...A portion of southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 2 inches per
  hour. Locally higher snowfall amounts possible. Blowing and
  drifting of snow, and whiteout conditions possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$
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Appears guidance is converging on a solution now somewhere between the CMC and the GFS camps. Euro being the extreme eastern/least snowy outlier and the NAM being the extreme on the opposite side.

Pretty much what @Newman and I have been talking about for a couple of days with Central DE to S NJ and shore points being the bullseye and points N and W still a MECS thru SE PA.

If Im guessing right now at this hour, 'around a foot' seems a reasonable call imby in Warminster/Ivyland. My folks in Cape May otoh....1-2' easy.

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6z gfs is noise level change im terms of track. However it did cut back totals a smidge. How far west that CCB gets is going to cause chaos. Verbatim with kutchera, western Berks get 7" and eastern gets 2 ft lol.

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

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