Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[SACRUS]

UKMET

[Rjay]

Well things escalated quickly tn....lol

[Nibor]

Just now, Rjay said:

Well things escalated quickly tn....lol

Time to lock the thread. It's only downhill from here.

[SACRUS]

QPF Maps 2/22 - 2/23-24

ICON:




GFS:




GFS AI AIGFS:


GGEM:



UKM

[Nibor]

GEFS is all over the place.

[NEG NAO]

36 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Time to lock the thread. It's only downhill from here.

now we wait for the Euro's to see if they  join the 0Z snowstorm party - when is the last time we had it "easy" around here almost week out with most models predicting a MECS this far out and it verifying ?

[Nibor]

AI euro is a grazer.

[MJO812]

Just now, Nibor said:

AI euro is a grazer.

Nice hit for Mid Atlantic.

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

now we wait for the Euro's to see if they  join the 0Z snowstorm party - when is the last time we had it "easy" around here almost week out with most models predicting a MECS this far out and it verifying ?

Feb 2022?

[NEG NAO]

9 minutes ago, Nibor said:

AI euro is a grazer.

IMO thats a good signal this should be all frozen precip this far north

[Stormlover74]

Nada on euro

[NEG NAO]

15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nada on euro

Dr. No OP in a world of its own as of 0Z Feb. 17 - the 12Z Canadian OP also had that cutter LP near the GL but changed course at 0Z

[WeatherGeek2025]

13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nada on euro

hey whether this hits or not, i think euro has a good name but should be on the same category as icon which is crappy! euro just doesn't run anymore like it used to it's probably on the same levels as any other global model nothing special about it anymore!

[NEG NAO]

12 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

hey whether this hits or not, i think euro has a good name but should be on the same category as icon which is crappy! euro just doesn't run anymore like it used to it's probably on the same levels as any other global model nothing special about it anymore!

The most encouraging news at 0Z was the Canadian coming on board with the coastal solution after a solution that looked similar to the just released 0Z Euro OP - its possible that the EURO is just behind a cycle- maybe didn't receive all the updated data at 0Z - who knows - the ensembles might give us a clue

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nada on euro

Eps loops decent. Discard the op.

Euro has been struggling this winter.

[MJO812]

Geps is nice