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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

Rjay

By Rjay,
in New York City Metro

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MJO812
MJO812
hooralph
hooralph

Crowd is gathering in Bryant Park for the most important Euro run in the history of humanity.

Rjay
Rjay

It's tiring reading the back and forth about starting a thread vs not starting a thread.  Who cares.  There's no such thing as a jinx and even though the models have been performing poorly at this ran

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viking70

viking70

Posted
Posted

dang that band is nice.  I think I must be  in a narrow band that is coming through northern westchester right now, which has been impressive.  I was going to go to bed, but I have to stay up now to see if we get into that band coming across LI.  Looks like there is thunder in there as well.  

 

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TriPol

TriPol

Posted
Posted 
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
341 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
There have been no changes to headlines and only some
adjustments to snowfall, mainly over western portions of the
Lower Hudson Valley.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Blizzard conditions will continue through the morning hours,
gradually winding down in the afternoon.

2) Additional minor coastal flooding possible with the Monday
afternoon high tide cycle. There is a low probability of major
coastal/shoreline impacts along the south shore of western Long
Island, Twin Forks of LI, and north shore of Long Island.

3) A passing warm front will bring some light snow and rain on
Wednesday. A stronger low passing close by will bring additional
wintry precip Thursday into Thursday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...

A major winter storm will continue to impact the area early this
morning with multiple bands of heavy snow expected to pivot NW
off the ocean and across the area. The next 6 hours are expected
to feature some of the heaviest snowfall with hourly rates of 2
to 3 inches likely. What is a bigger challenge is exactly how
far west these bands get and how long they stay over a
particular location. Outside of these bands, there is subsidence
and lighter snowfall. Much of the area has seen anywhere from 7
to 14 inches, but there were lower amounts across northern and
western portions of the Lower Hudson Valley. We can expect
another 6 to 12 inches, much of which will come the next 6 to 9
hours. The back edge across western Orange County looks like it
will be on the low end, perhaps another 4 inches. Hires guidance
pointing to this area to be along the back edge in the
subsidence of the storm. In addition, don`t be surprised to see
a brief flash of lightning in the heavy bands. There have been
reports from the public as well from lightning detection.

As the storm pulls away late this morning into the afternoon,
bands on the backside will dissipate, but it could take some
time. Hires guidance locking on to an area from eastern portions
of the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT southward in the NYC/NJ
metro. These bands in past historic storms can often be areas
of exceptionally high rates, but can be a challenge to forecast.
Any lingering snow bands should dissipate by early evening.

The wind forecast has changed little with peak winds being this
morning into early this afternoon. Gusts of 40 to 60 mph can be
expected through the morning hours, with the upper end across
far eastern LI and SE CT. Winds will then gradually ramp down
through the afternoon into the evening.

The good news is the airmass is not exceptionally cold with
highs around freezing for most locations. Wind chills values
will be in the teens to around 20.

 

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