E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion

[LVLion77]

It is not just the wind direction that is a factor. All day the flow was southerly and it still is. A very messy warm sector with low cloud cover and showers today is what tempered the severe weather risk. 
 
Powerful cold front moves through later this evening and that should be accompanied by a low-topped line. That could still tap into the strong wind field to produce areas of damaging winds. 

But the low cloud cover was the result of the easterly flow. A southerly flow is not enough to completely remove the marine influence. We have low 40’s water temps in the Atlantic. I still contend the forecasts this time of year rarely get this right.

[MGorse]

18 minutes ago, LVLion77 said:

But the low cloud cover was the result of the easterly flow. A southerly flow is not enough to completely remove the marine influence. We have low 40’s water temps in the Atlantic. I still contend the forecasts this time of year rarely get this right.

Disagree with your first sentence. 

[MGorse]

Meanwhile, heavy snow falling in western PA at this time. 

[Birds~69]

2 minutes ago, MGorse said:

Meanwhile, heavy snow falling in western PA at this time. 

61F here, State college 37F so the cold air is on the move....

[Albedoman]

51 minutes ago, MGorse said:

Meanwhile, heavy snow falling in western PA at this time. 

Mike, I feel that many in the forum will be shocked how quickly the temps will drop by 1 am. I must admit I called for the squally moderate rain weather as the sun never showed its face. Nice downpours but brief. We need every ounce of the liquid sunshine right now. The next round in an hour or so will bring  brief but destructive downdrafts with the frontal passage. many will be discussing the straight line wind issues. However, the big talk will be the huge wet snowflakes to follow about an  hour after the frontal passage as the cold air is finally catching up to the actual front now.  I expect an inch or even more on the grass  surafces by sunrise here in the LV.